GCT

GigaCloud Technology Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

GCT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 9.6x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

GCT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

GCT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

GCT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$31.18-52%
Fair9.6x$44.23-32%
Forward12x$64.79—
Expensive13x$58.32-10%
Current14x$64.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

GCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCT, with profitability improving.

GCT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$107.72
Downside-36%$41.55

Calculated from the latest close: $64.79 on Nov 12.

GCT's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +66% against −36%.

GCT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.34Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.95Q2 2026: $4.20Q3 2026: $4.62Forward: $5.61
Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.34Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.95Q2 2026: $4.20Q3 2026: $4.62Forward: $5.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.61+21%
Q3 2026$4.62+38%
Q2 2026$4.20+26%
Q1 2026$3.95+29%
Q4 2025$3.59+18%
Q3 2025$3.34+5.7%
Q2 2025$3.33+20%
Q1 2025$3.07+19%
Q4 2024$3.05+33%

GCT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.62 over the past year, up 38% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

GCT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $303MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: $272MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $412MQ3 2026: $424M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $303MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: $272MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $412MQ3 2026: $424M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$423.6M+27%
Q2 2026$411.6M+28%
Q1 2026$359.5M+32%
Q4 2025$362.7M+23%
Q3 2025$332.6M+9.7%
Q2 2025$322.6M+3.8%
Q1 2025$271.9M+8.3%
Q4 2024$295.8M+21%

GCT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $424M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

GCT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$55.8M-28%
Q2 2026$45.1M+22%
Q1 2026-$26.2M-472%
Q4 2025$61.7M-7.9%
Q3 2025$77.1M+50%
Q2 2025$37M+187%
Q1 2025$7M-38%
Q4 2024$66.9M+42%

GCT generated $136M in free cash flow over the past year, down 27% from the year before.

GCT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-722K shares
1 year-4.7%-1.8M shares
3 years-12%-5.1M shares
5 years-11%-4.4M shares
Available history+277%+26.3M shares

GCT has 36M diluted shares, down 4.7% from a year ago.

GCT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

GCT has more cash than debt.

GCT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.7Overbought
Stochastic79.3Neutral

GCT's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

GCT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGCTSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %914348 pts above

GCT is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GCT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.812% above
20 week MA$50.628% above
50 week MA$44.246% above
100 week MA$33.196% above
200 week MA$25.6153% above

GCT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 153% above its 200-week average.

GCT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$48.0$5.53-88%
2023$5.53$18.3+231%
2024$18.3$17.6-4%
2025$17.6$40.2+129%
2026 YTD$40.2$64.8+61%

GCT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +231% in 2023 to −88% in 2022. It's up 61% so far in 2026.

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