GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc.
GCT has a slight edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GCT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GCT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
GCT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.7x | $31.18 | -52% |
| Fair | 9.6x | $44.23 | -32% |
| Forward | 12x | $64.79 | — |
| Expensive | 13x | $58.32 | -10% |
| Current | 14x | $64.79 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GCT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GCT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCT, with profitability improving.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GCT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.61 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.62 | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.20 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.95 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.59 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.34 | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.33 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.07 | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.05 | +33% |
GCT has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
GCT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $423.6M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $411.6M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $359.5M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $362.7M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $332.6M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $322.6M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $271.9M | +8.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $295.8M | +21% |
GCT has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3% | -5.8 points |
GCT's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 1.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over GCT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GCT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.8M | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $45.1M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | -$26.2M | -472% |
| Q4 2025 | $61.7M | -7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.1M | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $37M | +187% |
| Q1 2025 | $7M | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $66.9M | +42% |
GCT generated $136M in free cash flow over the past year, down 27% from the year before.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over GCT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GCT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -722K shares |
| 1 year | -4.7% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -4.4M shares |
| Available history | +277% | +26.3M shares |
GCT has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $30M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $22.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $23.2M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $1.5M |
| Q2 2023 | — |
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
GCT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
GCT has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
GCT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 75.7 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 79.3 | Neutral |
GCT's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
GCT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GCT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 28x | 50% below |
| PE % | 91 | 43 | 48 pts above |
GCT is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GCT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $57.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $50.6 | 28% above |
| 50 week MA | $44.2 | 46% above |
| 100 week MA | $33.1 | 96% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.6 | 153% above |
GCT has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
GCT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $48.0 | $5.53 | -88% |
| 2023 | $5.53 | $18.3 | +231% |
| 2024 | $18.3 | $17.6 | -4% |
| 2025 | $17.6 | $40.2 | +129% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.2 | $64.8 | +61% |
GCT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +231% in 2023 to −88% in 2022. It's up 61% so far in 2026.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over GCT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.