GCO
Genesco Inc.
GCO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over GCO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
GCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
GCO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
GCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $23.89 | -33% |
| Fair | 7.3x | $28.93 | -19% |
| Current | 9x | $35.78 | — |
| Forward | 12x | $35.78 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $78.41 | +119% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GCO's PE is in its expensive range at 9.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over GCO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
GCO has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.09 | -22% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.96 | +$6.37 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +$3.38 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.25 | +$2.99 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.15 | +$2.46 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.41 | -$2.16 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.53 | +$0.60 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.61 | -$1.87 |
GCO has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
GCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $529.9M | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $487M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $799.9M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $616.2M | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $546M | +4% |
| Q2 2025 | $474M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $745.9M | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $596.3M | +2.9% |
GCO has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.2% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.9% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -0.2 points |
GCO's operating margin was 0.7% last quarter, up 3.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over GCO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60M | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | -$118.2M | +$1.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $163.5M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | -$31.5M | +$4.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $71.7M | +262% |
| Q2 2025 | -$119.9M | -$79.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $103.3M | -4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | -$36.2M | -$23.4M |
GCO has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
GCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.7% | +489K shares |
| 1 year | +6.1% | +623K shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -427K shares |
| 5 years | -25% | -3.7M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -3.6M shares |
GCO has 11M diluted shares, up 6.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $12.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $440,000 |
GCO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over GCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
GCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
GCO has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.5 | Neutral |
GCO's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
GCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9x | 18x | 50% below |
| PE % | 68 | 47 | 21 pts above |
GCO has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.2 | 1.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $35.6 | 0.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $32.9 | 8.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.9 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.6 | 17% above |
GCO has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
GCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $48.2 | $27.9 | -42% |
| 2021 | $27.9 | $59.8 | +114% |
| 2022 | $59.8 | $44.2 | -26% |
| 2023 | $44.2 | $35.2 | -20% |
| 2024 | $35.2 | $42.1 | +20% |
| 2025 | $42.1 | $25.6 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.6 | $35.8 | +40% |
GCO has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.