GCO

Genesco Inc.

54
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

GCO's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 9.0x earnings, above its usual 7.3x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

GCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

GCO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

GCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$23.89-33%
Fair7.3x$28.93-19%
Current9x$35.78—
Forward12x$35.78—
Expensive20x$78.41+119%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCO's PE is in its expensive range at 9.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.

GCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$54.02
Downside-28%$25.70

Calculated from the latest close: $35.78 on Nov 12.

GCO's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +51% against −28%.

GCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-1.50Q2 2024: $-2.13Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-2.61Q1 2025: $-1.74Q2 2025: $-1.53Q3 2025: $-2.41Q4 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $3.96Forward: $3.09
Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-1.50Q2 2024: $-2.13Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-2.61Q1 2025: $-1.74Q2 2025: $-1.53Q3 2025: $-2.41Q4 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $3.96Forward: $3.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.09-22%
Q3 2026$3.96+$6.37
Q2 2026$1.85+$3.38
Q1 2026$1.25+$2.99
Q4 2025-$0.15+$2.46
Q3 2025-$2.41-$2.16
Q2 2025-$1.53+$0.60
Q1 2025-$1.74-$0.24
Q4 2024-$2.61-$1.87

GCO has returned to profit: it earned $3.96 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $579MQ1 2024: $739MQ2 2024: $458MQ3 2024: $525MQ4 2024: $596MQ1 2025: $746MQ2 2025: $474MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $616MQ1 2026: $800MQ2 2026: $487MQ3 2026: $530M
Q4 2023: $579MQ1 2024: $739MQ2 2024: $458MQ3 2024: $525MQ4 2024: $596MQ1 2025: $746MQ2 2025: $474MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $616MQ1 2026: $800MQ2 2026: $487MQ3 2026: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$529.9M-3%
Q2 2026$487M+2.8%
Q1 2026$799.9M+7.2%
Q4 2025$616.2M+3.3%
Q3 2025$546M+4%
Q2 2025$474M+3.6%
Q1 2025$745.9M+0.9%
Q4 2024$596.3M+2.9%

GCO's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $530M last quarter, down 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: −$40MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: −$32MQ1 2026: $163MQ2 2026: −$118MQ3 2026: $60M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: −$40MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: −$32MQ1 2026: $163MQ2 2026: −$118MQ3 2026: $60M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60M-16%
Q2 2026-$118.2M+$1.7M
Q1 2026$163.5M+58%
Q4 2025-$31.5M+$4.7M
Q3 2025$71.7M+262%
Q2 2025-$119.9M-$79.8M
Q1 2025$103.3M-4.2%
Q4 2024-$36.2M-$23.4M

GCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $74M over the past year.

GCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 10MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 10MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.7%+489K shares
1 year+6.1%+623K shares
3 years-3.8%-427K shares
5 years-25%-3.7M shares
Available history-25%-3.6M shares

GCO has 11M diluted shares, up 6.1% from a year ago.

GCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

GCO has more cash than debt.

GCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic52.5Neutral

GCO's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

GCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGCOSector medianRelative
PE9x18x50% below
PE %684721 pts above

GCO is trading at 9.0x earnings, a 50% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.21.1% below
20 week MA$35.60.4% above
50 week MA$32.98.9% above
100 week MA$30.916% above
200 week MA$30.617% above

GCO's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 17% above its 200-week average.

GCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.2$27.9-42%
2021$27.9$59.8+114%
2022$59.8$44.2-26%
2023$44.2$35.2-20%
2024$35.2$42.1+20%
2025$42.1$25.6-39%
2026 YTD$25.6$35.8+40%

GCO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +114% in 2021 to −42% in 2020. It's up 40% so far in 2026.

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