GCO

Genesco Inc.

54
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

GCO has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

GCO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$23.89-33%
Fair7.3x$28.93-19%
Current9x$35.78—
Forward12x$35.78—
Expensive20x$78.41+119%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCO's PE is in its expensive range at 9.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$54.02
Downside-28%$25.70

Calculated from the latest close: $35.78 on Nov 12.

GCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails GCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-1.50Q2 2024: $-2.13Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-2.61Q1 2025: $-1.74Q2 2025: $-1.53Q3 2025: $-2.41Q4 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $3.96Forward: $3.09
Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-1.50Q2 2024: $-2.13Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-2.61Q1 2025: $-1.74Q2 2025: $-1.53Q3 2025: $-2.41Q4 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.85Q3 2026: $3.96Forward: $3.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.09-22%
Q3 2026$3.96+$6.37
Q2 2026$1.85+$3.38
Q1 2026$1.25+$2.99
Q4 2025-$0.15+$2.46
Q3 2025-$2.41-$2.16
Q2 2025-$1.53+$0.60
Q1 2025-$1.74-$0.24
Q4 2024-$2.61-$1.87

GCO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

GCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $579MQ1 2024: $739MQ2 2024: $458MQ3 2024: $525MQ4 2024: $596MQ1 2025: $746MQ2 2025: $474MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $616MQ1 2026: $800MQ2 2026: $487MQ3 2026: $530M
Q4 2023: $579MQ1 2024: $739MQ2 2024: $458MQ3 2024: $525MQ4 2024: $596MQ1 2025: $746MQ2 2025: $474MQ3 2025: $546MQ4 2025: $616MQ1 2026: $800MQ2 2026: $487MQ3 2026: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$529.9M-3%
Q2 2026$487M+2.8%
Q1 2026$799.9M+7.2%
Q4 2025$616.2M+3.3%
Q3 2025$546M+4%
Q2 2025$474M+3.6%
Q1 2025$745.9M+0.9%
Q4 2024$596.3M+2.9%

GCO's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $530M last quarter, down 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over GCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: −$40MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: −$32MQ1 2026: $163MQ2 2026: −$118MQ3 2026: $60M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $108MQ2 2024: −$40MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: −$32MQ1 2026: $163MQ2 2026: −$118MQ3 2026: $60M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60M-16%
Q2 2026-$118.2M+$1.7M
Q1 2026$163.5M+58%
Q4 2025-$31.5M+$4.7M
Q3 2025$71.7M+262%
Q2 2025-$119.9M-$79.8M
Q1 2025$103.3M-4.2%
Q4 2024-$36.2M-$23.4M

GCO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

GCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 10MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 10MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.7%+489K shares
1 year+6.1%+623K shares
3 years-3.8%-427K shares
5 years-25%-3.7M shares
Available history-25%-3.6M shares

GCO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

GCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

GCO has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic52.5Neutral

GCO's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

GCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGCOSector medianRelative
PE9x18x50% below
PE %684721 pts above

GCO is trading at 9.0x earnings, a 50% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.21.1% below
20 week MA$35.60.4% above
50 week MA$32.98.9% above
100 week MA$30.916% above
200 week MA$30.617% above

GCO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

GCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.2$27.9-42%
2021$27.9$59.8+114%
2022$59.8$44.2-26%
2023$44.2$35.2-20%
2024$35.2$42.1+20%
2025$42.1$25.6-39%
2026 YTD$25.6$35.8+40%

GCO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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