GCMG

GCM Grosvenor Inc.

63
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

GCMG's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 5 points to 27%, while revenue grew 6.6%. At 23x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 24x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

GCMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

GCMG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GCMG.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

GCMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$13.53โ€”
Cheap23x$13.18-2.6%
Current23x$13.53โ€”
Fair24x$14.14+4.5%
Expensive29x$16.79+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCMG's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

GCMG has the edge over IREN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GCMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$17.25
Downside-11%$12.10

Calculated from the latest close: $13.53 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GCMG and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GCMG and IREN's risk to reward.

GCMG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+83%
Q1 2021$0.43+$1.02
Q4 2020$0.22+$0.22

GCMG has the edge over IREN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GCMG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$145.6M+7.8%
Q2 2026$134.3M+12%
Q1 2026$124.8M-0.8%
Q4 2025$177.1M+7.2%
Q3 2025$135M+9.8%
Q2 2025$119.7M+2.3%
Q1 2025$125.8M+16%
Q4 2024$165.3M+42%

GCMG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $146M last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GCMG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+17%
Q2 2026$36.3M-11%
Q1 2026$47.9M+49%
Q4 2025$23.9M-35%
Q3 2025$78.3M+26%
Q2 2025$40.8M+218%
Q1 2025$32.1M+60%
Q4 2024$37M+53%

GCMG has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

GCMG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.4M shares
1 year+3.8%+7.5M shares
3 years+8.7%+16.4M shares
5 years+414%+165M shares

GCMG has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

GCMG Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.5xHigh

GCMG's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GCMG.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

GCMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic31.7Neutral

GCMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GCMG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGCMGSector medianRelative
PE23x13x79% above
PE %326331 pts below

GCMG is trading at 23x earnings, a 79% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.95% above
20 week MA$13.13.5% above
50 week MA$11.814% above
100 week MA$12.111% above
200 week MA$10.628% above

GCMG has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

GCMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$13.6+33%
2021$13.6$10.1-26%
2022$10.1$7.84-22%
2023$7.84$8.96+14%
2024$8.96$12.2+36%
2025$12.2$11.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$11.5$13.5+18%

GCMG has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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