GCMG
GCM Grosvenor Inc.
GCMG's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 5 points to 27%, while revenue grew 6.6%. At 23x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 24x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
GCMG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GCMG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GCMG.
GCMG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $13.53 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $13.18 | -2.6% |
| Current | 23x | $13.53 | — |
| Fair | 24x | $14.14 | +4.5% |
| Expensive | 29x | $16.79 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GCMG's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
GCMG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCMG, with profitability improving.
GCMG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.06 | +83% |
| Q1 2021 | $0.43 | +$1.02 |
| Q4 2020 | $0.22 | +$0.22 |
GCMG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.58 over the past year, up 35% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.
GCMG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $145.6M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $134.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.8M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $177.1M | +7.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $135M | +9.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.7M | +2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $125.8M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $165.3M | +42% |
GCMG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $146M last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +27 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +15 points |
GCMG's operating margin was 32% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GCMG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $91.9M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $36.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $47.9M | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | $78.3M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $40.8M | +218% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.1M | +60% |
| Q4 2024 | $37M | +53% |
GCMG's free cash flow was $200M over the past year, up 6.3% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GCMG.
GCMG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +1.4M shares |
| 1 year | +3.8% | +7.5M shares |
| 3 years | +8.7% | +16.4M shares |
| 5 years | +414% | +165M shares |
GCMG has 205M diluted shares, up 3.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $17.5M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
GCMG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5x | High |
GCMG's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GCMG.
GCMG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.7 | Neutral |
GCMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
GCMG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GCMG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 13x | 79% above |
| PE % | 32 | 63 | 31 pts below |
GCMG is trading at 23x earnings, a 79% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GCMG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.9 | 5% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.1 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.8 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.6 | 28% above |
GCMG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.
GCMG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.2 | $13.6 | +33% |
| 2021 | $13.6 | $10.1 | -26% |
| 2022 | $10.1 | $7.84 | -22% |
| 2023 | $7.84 | $8.96 | +14% |
| 2024 | $8.96 | $12.2 | +36% |
| 2025 | $12.2 | $11.5 | -6.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.5 | $13.5 | +18% |
GCMG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.