GBDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

GBDC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

GBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GBDC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GBDC.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

GBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x41x61x82x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x41x61x82x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$5.08-59%
Forward9.8x$12.49โ€”
Fair10x$6.58-47%
Expensive17x$10.74-14%
Current19x$12.49โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBDC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.8x, in its fair range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GBDC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

IREN has the edge over GBDC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

GBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$14.18
Downside-12%$10.97

Calculated from the latest close: $12.49 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GBDC and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GBDC and IREN's risk to reward.

GBDC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.33Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $1.27
Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.33Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+96%
Q2 2026$0.65-53%
Q1 2026$0.77-29%
Q4 2025$1.25-6%
Q3 2025$1.42+4.4%
Q2 2025$1.37-17%
Q1 2025$1.08-47%
Q4 2024$1.33-27%
Q3 2024$1.36-11%

GBDC has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$73.9M-18%
Q2 2022$57.6M-43%
Q1 2022$109.5M-1.5%
Q4 2021$105.4M-6.1%
Q3 2021$90.5M-19%
Q2 2021$101.3M-38%
Q4 2020$112.3M+56%

IREN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 18% for GBDC versus down 5.1% for IREN.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GBDC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: โˆ’$200MQ4 2024: โˆ’$375MQ1 2025: $195MQ2 2025: โˆ’$200MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $193M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: โˆ’$200MQ4 2024: โˆ’$375MQ1 2025: $195MQ2 2025: โˆ’$200MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $193M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$192.7M+$393.2M
Q1 2026$248.8M+27%
Q4 2025$212M+$586.7M
Q3 2025$266.1M+$466.1M
Q2 2025-$200.4M-187%
Q1 2025$195.4M+31%
Q4 2024-$374.7M-329%
Q3 2024-$200M-412%

GBDC has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

GBDC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 170MQ4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 200MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 267MQ3 2025: 266MQ4 2025: 264MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 260M
Q3 2023: 170MQ4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 200MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 267MQ3 2025: 266MQ4 2025: 264MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 260M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2.2M shares
1 year-2.4%-6.4M shares
3 years+52%+89.6M shares
5 years+56%+93.2M shares
Available history+241%+184M shares

GBDC has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

GBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202212.1xHigh
Q2 202210.9xHigh
Q1 20228.8xHigh
Q4 20218.1xHigh
Q3 20217.0xHigh
Q2 20215.4xHigh
Q1 20214.7xHigh
Q4 202022.4xHigh

GBDC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBDC.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

GBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

GBDC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGBDCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x48% above
PE %886325 pts above

GBDC is trading at 19x earnings, a 48% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.40.6% above
20 week MA$12.72% below
50 week MA$12.93.3% below
100 week MA$13.89.6% below
200 week MA$14.313% below

GBDC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 13% below its 200-week average.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

GBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.5$13.8-25%
2021$13.8$15.3+11%
2022$15.3$13.2-13%
2023$13.2$15.1+14%
2024$15.1$15.3+1%
2025$15.3$13.6-11%
2026 YTD$13.6$12.5-7.8%

GBDC has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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