GBDC
Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
GBDC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over GBDC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
GBDC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GBDC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GBDC.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
GBDC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.8x | $5.08 | -59% |
| Forward | 9.8x | $12.49 | — |
| Fair | 10x | $6.58 | -47% |
| Expensive | 17x | $10.74 | -14% |
| Current | 19x | $12.49 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GBDC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.8x, in its fair range.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over GBDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GBDC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GBDC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over GBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GBDC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | +96% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.65 | -53% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.77 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.25 | -6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.42 | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.37 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.33 | -27% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.36 | -11% |
GBDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.65 over the past year, against $2.61 in early 2021.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over GBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GBDC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $73.9M | -18% |
| Q2 2022 | $57.6M | -43% |
| Q1 2022 | $109.5M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2021 | $105.4M | -6.1% |
| Q3 2021 | $90.5M | -19% |
| Q2 2021 | $101.3M | -38% |
| Q4 2020 | $112.3M | +56% |
HOOD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 18% for GBDC versus up 12% for HOOD.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 51% | -29 points |
| Q2 2022 | 68% | -14 points |
| Q1 2022 | 79% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2021 | 77% | -6.8 points |
| Q3 2021 | 80% | -5 points |
| Q2 2021 | 82% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2021 | 82% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 84% | +19 points |
GBDC's operating margin was 51% last quarter, down 29 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GBDC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $192.7M | +$393.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $248.8M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $212M | +$586.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $266.1M | +$466.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$200.4M | -187% |
| Q1 2025 | $195.4M | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | -$374.7M | -329% |
| Q3 2024 | -$200M | -412% |
GBDC's free cash flow was $920M over the past year, against −$580M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBDC.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
GBDC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -2.2M shares |
| 1 year | -2.4% | -6.4M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +89.6M shares |
| 5 years | +56% | +93.2M shares |
| Available history | +241% | +184M shares |
GBDC has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $35.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $34.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.8M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $70,000 |
GBDC spent $83M buying back its own shares over the past year.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
GBDC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 12.1x | High |
| Q2 2022 | 10.9x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 8.8x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 8.1x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 7.0x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 5.4x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 22.4x | High |
GBDC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBDC.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
GBDC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.9 | Neutral |
GBDC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
GBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GBDC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 48% above |
| PE % | 88 | 63 | 25 pts above |
GBDC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GBDC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.4 | 0.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.7 | 2% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.9 | 3.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.8 | 9.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.3 | 13% below |
GBDC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 13% below its 200-week average.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
GBDC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.5 | $13.8 | -25% |
| 2021 | $13.8 | $15.3 | +11% |
| 2022 | $15.3 | $13.2 | -13% |
| 2023 | $13.2 | $15.1 | +14% |
| 2024 | $15.1 | $15.3 | +1% |
| 2025 | $15.3 | $13.6 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.6 | $12.5 | -7.8% |
GBDC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.