GAP
The Gap, Inc.
GAP has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
GAP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
GAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
GAP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 6.4x | $21.25 | — |
| Forward | 8.2x | $21.25 | — |
| Cheap | 8.5x | $28.27 | +33% |
| Fair | 12x | $39.07 | +84% |
| Expensive | 29x | $96.48 | +354% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GAP has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
GAP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GAP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GAP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.60 | -22% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.33 | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.52 | +9.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.13 | -3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.23 | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.33 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.30 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.20 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.16 | +2060% |
GAP has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
GAP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.2B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +0.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | +1.6% |
GAP has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +5.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.5% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.8% | 0 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.5% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3% | +2.6 points |
GAP has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
GAP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $183M | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $78M | +$301M |
| Q1 2026 | $543M | +8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $153M | +7% |
| Q3 2025 | $350M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$223M | -$160M |
| Q1 2025 | $499M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $143M | -33% |
GAP generated $957M in free cash flow over the past year, up 24% from the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
GAP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4.2% | -16M shares |
| 1 year | -4.5% | -17M shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -6.2% | -24M shares |
| Available history | -3.7% | -14M shares |
GAP has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $200M |
| Q2 2026 | $401M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $82M |
| Q2 2025 | $70M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
GAP spent $604M buying back its own shares over the past year.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
GAP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
GAP has more cash than debt.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over GAP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GAP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.7 | Neutral |
GAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
GAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GAP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.4x | 18x | 65% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
GAP has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GAP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.3 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $21.3 | 0% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.6 | 9.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $23.0 | 7.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $20.1 | 5.7% above |
GAP has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 5.7% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over GAP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GAP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.8 | $20.4 | +15% |
| 2021 | $20.4 | $17.3 | -15% |
| 2022 | $17.3 | $12.1 | -30% |
| 2023 | $12.1 | $20.9 | +73% |
| 2024 | $20.9 | $24.3 | +16% |
| 2025 | $24.3 | $26.2 | +7.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.2 | $21.3 | -19% |
GAP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over GAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.