GAP

The Gap, Inc.

76
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

GAP's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 6.4x earnings, about half its usual 12x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

GAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

GAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

GAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.4x$21.25—
Forward8.2x$21.25—
Cheap8.5x$28.27+33%
Fair12x$39.07+84%
Expensive29x$96.48+354%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GAP's PE is in its cheap range at 6.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

GAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect GAP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$31.18
Downside-20%$17.00

Calculated from the latest close: $21.25 on Nov 12.

GAP's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +47% against −20%.

GAP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.60-22%
Q3 2026$3.33+43%
Q2 2026$2.52+9.6%
Q1 2026$2.13-3.2%
Q4 2025$2.23+3.2%
Q3 2025$2.33+15%
Q2 2025$2.30+28%
Q1 2025$2.20+64%
Q4 2024$2.16+2060%

GAP earned $3.33 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

GAP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-2%
Q2 2026$3.5B+1%
Q1 2026$4.2B+2.1%
Q4 2025$3.9B+3%
Q3 2025$3.7B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.5B+2.2%
Q1 2025$4.1B-3.5%
Q4 2024$3.8B+1.6%

GAP's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

GAP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$183M-48%
Q2 2026$78M+$301M
Q1 2026$543M+8.8%
Q4 2025$153M+7%
Q3 2025$350M-24%
Q2 2025-$223M-$160M
Q1 2025$499M-12%
Q4 2024$143M-33%

GAP generated $957M in free cash flow over the past year, up 24% from the year before.

GAP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.2%-16M shares
1 year-4.5%-17M shares
3 years-2.4%-9M shares
5 years-6.2%-24M shares
Available history-3.7%-14M shares

GAP has 362M diluted shares, down 4.5% from a year ago, with $604M in buybacks over the past year.

GAP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

GAP has more cash than debt.

GAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic35.7Neutral

GAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

GAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGAPSector medianRelative
PE6.4x18x65% below
PE %14746 pts below

GAP is trading at 6.4x earnings, a 65% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.34.5% below
20 week MA$21.30% above
50 week MA$23.69.8% below
100 week MA$23.07.5% below
200 week MA$20.15.7% above

GAP has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 5.7% above its 200-week average.

GAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$20.4+15%
2021$20.4$17.3-15%
2022$17.3$12.1-30%
2023$12.1$20.9+73%
2024$20.9$24.3+16%
2025$24.3$26.2+7.8%
2026 YTD$26.2$21.3-19%

GAP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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