GAP

The Gap, Inc.

76
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

GAP has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

GAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.4x$21.25—
Forward8.2x$21.25—
Cheap8.5x$28.27+33%
Fair12x$39.07+84%
Expensive29x$96.48+354%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GAP's PE is in its cheap range at 6.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect GAP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over GAP on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$31.18
Downside-20%$17.00

Calculated from the latest close: $21.25 on Nov 12.

GAP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails GAP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GAP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.60-22%
Q3 2026$3.33+43%
Q2 2026$2.52+9.6%
Q1 2026$2.13-3.2%
Q4 2025$2.23+3.2%
Q3 2025$2.33+15%
Q2 2025$2.30+28%
Q1 2025$2.20+64%
Q4 2024$2.16+2060%

GAP has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

GAP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-2%
Q2 2026$3.5B+1%
Q1 2026$4.2B+2.1%
Q4 2025$3.9B+3%
Q3 2025$3.7B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.5B+2.2%
Q1 2025$4.1B-3.5%
Q4 2024$3.8B+1.6%

GAP's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over GAP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GAP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$183M-48%
Q2 2026$78M+$301M
Q1 2026$543M+8.8%
Q4 2025$153M+7%
Q3 2025$350M-24%
Q2 2025-$223M-$160M
Q1 2025$499M-12%
Q4 2024$143M-33%

GAP has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

GAP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.2%-16M shares
1 year-4.5%-17M shares
3 years-2.4%-9M shares
5 years-6.2%-24M shares
Available history-3.7%-14M shares

GAP has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

GAP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

GAP has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic35.7Neutral

GAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

GAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGAPSector medianRelative
PE6.4x18x65% below
PE %14746 pts below

GAP is trading at 6.4x earnings, a 65% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.34.5% below
20 week MA$21.30% above
50 week MA$23.69.8% below
100 week MA$23.07.5% below
200 week MA$20.15.7% above

GAP has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

GAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$20.4+15%
2021$20.4$17.3-15%
2022$17.3$12.1-30%
2023$12.1$20.9+73%
2024$20.9$24.3+16%
2025$24.3$26.2+7.8%
2026 YTD$26.2$21.3-19%

GAP has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key