GAP

The Gap, Inc.

76
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

GAP has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

GAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.4x$21.25—
Forward8.2x$21.25—
Cheap8.5x$28.27+33%
Fair12x$39.07+84%
Expensive29x$96.48+354%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GAP's PE is in its cheap range at 6.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect GAP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$31.18
Downside-20%$17.00

Calculated from the latest close: $21.25 on Nov 12.

GAP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails GAP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GAP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.60-22%
Q3 2026$3.33+43%
Q2 2026$2.52+9.6%
Q1 2026$2.13-3.2%
Q4 2025$2.23+3.2%
Q3 2025$2.33+15%
Q2 2025$2.30+28%
Q1 2025$2.20+64%
Q4 2024$2.16+2060%

GAP has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

GAP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-2%
Q2 2026$3.5B+1%
Q1 2026$4.2B+2.1%
Q4 2025$3.9B+3%
Q3 2025$3.7B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.5B+2.2%
Q1 2025$4.1B-3.5%
Q4 2024$3.8B+1.6%

GAP's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over GAP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GAP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$183M-48%
Q2 2026$78M+$301M
Q1 2026$543M+8.8%
Q4 2025$153M+7%
Q3 2025$350M-24%
Q2 2025-$223M-$160M
Q1 2025$499M-12%
Q4 2024$143M-33%

GAP has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

GAP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.2%-16M shares
1 year-4.5%-17M shares
3 years-2.4%-9M shares
5 years-6.2%-24M shares
Available history-3.7%-14M shares

GAP has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

GAP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

GAP has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic35.7Neutral

GAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

GAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGAPSector medianRelative
PE6.4x18x65% below
PE %14746 pts below

GAP is trading at 6.4x earnings, a 65% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.34.5% below
20 week MA$21.30% above
50 week MA$23.69.8% below
100 week MA$23.07.5% below
200 week MA$20.15.7% above

GAP has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

GAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$20.4+15%
2021$20.4$17.3-15%
2022$17.3$12.1-30%
2023$12.1$20.9+73%
2024$20.9$24.3+16%
2025$24.3$26.2+7.8%
2026 YTD$26.2$21.3-19%

GAP has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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