FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
FWRG has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
GME
GameStop Corp.
GME offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
FWRG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
FWRG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
GME Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FWRG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 40x | $12.94 | — |
| Cheap | 42x | $13.57 | +4.9% |
| Forward | 55x | $12.94 | — |
| Fair | 70x | $22.45 | +73% |
| Expensive | 199x | $63.78 | +393% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FWRG has the edge over GME in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GME PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 17x | $25.62 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $27.96 | +9.1% |
| Forward | 38x | $25.62 | — |
| Fair | 43x | $66.84 | +161% |
| Expensive | 252x | $388 | +1414% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GME's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 38x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
FWRG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
FWRG has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GME Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
FWRG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.23 | -27% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.32 | +300% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.29 | +383% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.28 | +65% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | +3.3% |
FWRG has the edge over GME on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
GME Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.67 | -56% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.54 | +93% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | +153% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.77 | +133% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.89 | +394% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.80 | +515% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | +563% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +1550% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.18 | +$0.21 |
GME's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.54 over the past year, up 93% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
FWRG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $349.9M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $354.7M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $331M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $316.4M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $316M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $307.9M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $282.2M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $263.3M | +7.6% |
FWRG has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.4% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5% | -1.3 points |
FWRG's operating margin was 3.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GME Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $790.2M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $835.3M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $821M | -4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $972.2M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $732.4M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.3M | -20% |
GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | +9.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.9% | -2.5 points |
GME has the edge over FWRG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FWRG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1M | -5.9% |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.1M | -$11.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1M | +$21.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$18.3M | -$588K |
| Q3 2025 | $5.5M | -20% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.7M | -174% |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.4M | -$12.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.8M | -$8.3M |
FWRG has burned cash in most quarters: −$21M over the past year, against −$30M the year before.
GME Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60.7M | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $332.9M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $187.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $107M | +435% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.3M | +73% |
| Q2 2025 | $189.6M | +$304.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $158.8M | +$177.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M | +80% |
GME has the edge over FWRG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
FWRG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +254K shares |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -283K shares |
| 3 years | +1.6% | +988K shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +16.5M shares |
| Available history | +39% | +17.5M shares |
FWRG has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GME Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +8.4% | +46.1M shares |
| 3 years | +94% | +288M shares |
| 5 years | +104% | +302M shares |
| Available history | +80% | +264M shares |
GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $21.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $114M |
FWRG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
FWRG's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
GME Net Leverage
FWRG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.3 | Neutral |
FWRG's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
GME Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
FWRG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FWRG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 18x | 124% above |
| PE % | 11 | 57 | 46 pts below |
FWRG is trading at 40x earnings, a 124% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GME | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 7.7% below |
| PE % | 15 | 47 | 32 pts below |
GME has the edge over FWRG on valuation relative to its sector.
FWRG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.7 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.0 | 7.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $13.0 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.3 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 23% below |
FWRG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 23% below its 200-week average.
GME Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.2 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.0 | 7% above |
| 200 week MA | $21.8 | 17% above |
GME has the edge over FWRG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
FWRG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $22.1 | $16.0 | -28% |
| 2022 | $16.0 | $14.2 | -11% |
| 2023 | $14.2 | $20.1 | +41% |
| 2024 | $20.1 | $18.7 | -7% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $15.9 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.9 | $12.9 | -19% |
FWRG has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.
GME Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.48 | $5.04 | +241% |
| 2021 | $5.04 | $38.0 | +655% |
| 2022 | $38.0 | $20.1 | -47% |
| 2023 | $20.1 | $17.5 | -13% |
| 2024 | $17.5 | $32.2 | +84% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $21.1 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.1 | $25.6 | +21% |
GME has the edge over FWRG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.