FTDR

Frontdoor, Inc.

58
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTDR has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FTDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

FTDR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

FTDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$64.94-32%
Forward19x$95.42—
Fair20x$81.26-15%
Current24x$95.42—
Expensive31x$123+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTDR has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

FTDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FTDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$116.01
Downside-22%$74.59

Calculated from the latest close: $95.42 on Nov 12.

FTDR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails FTDR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FTDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+28%
Q3 2026$4.01+15%
Q2 2026$3.78+12%
Q1 2026$3.50+14%
Q4 2025$3.42+14%
Q3 2025$3.49+16%
Q2 2025$3.37+29%
Q1 2025$3.07+35%
Q4 2024$3.01+42%

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

FTDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$655M+6%
Q2 2026$645M+4.5%
Q1 2026$451M+5.9%
Q4 2025$433M+13%
Q3 2025$618M+14%
Q2 2025$617M+14%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$382M+4.4%

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

FTDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65M+12%
Q2 2026$120M0%
Q1 2026$113M-3.4%
Q4 2025$95M+90%
Q3 2025$58M+263%
Q2 2025$120M+32%
Q1 2025$117M+58%
Q4 2024$50M-7.4%

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

FTDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-800K shares
1 year-5.5%-4.1M shares
3 years-13%-10.3M shares
5 years-18%-15.6M shares
Available history-17%-14.6M shares

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FTDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

FTDR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over FTDR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FTDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic77.8Neutral

FTDR's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

FTDR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFTDRSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %614714 pts above

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

FTDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.313% above
20 week MA$81.617% above
50 week MA$69.338% above
100 week MA$62.353% above
200 week MA$49.095% above

FTDR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

FTDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.3$50.6+7%
2021$50.6$35.6-30%
2022$35.6$19.6-45%
2023$19.6$35.2+80%
2024$35.2$55.7+58%
2025$55.7$58.6+5.3%
2026 YTD$58.6$95.4+63%

FTDR has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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