FTDR

Frontdoor, Inc.

58
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTDR's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 20x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FTDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

FTDR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

FTDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$64.94-32%
Forward19x$95.42—
Fair20x$81.26-15%
Current24x$95.42—
Expensive31x$123+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTDR's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

FTDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FTDR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FTDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$116.01
Downside-22%$74.59

Calculated from the latest close: $95.42 on Nov 12.

FTDR's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +22% against −22%.

FTDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+28%
Q3 2026$4.01+15%
Q2 2026$3.78+12%
Q1 2026$3.50+14%
Q4 2025$3.42+14%
Q3 2025$3.49+16%
Q2 2025$3.37+29%
Q1 2025$3.07+35%
Q4 2024$3.01+42%

FTDR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.01 over the past year, up 15% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

FTDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$655M+6%
Q2 2026$645M+4.5%
Q1 2026$451M+5.9%
Q4 2025$433M+13%
Q3 2025$618M+14%
Q2 2025$617M+14%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$382M+4.4%

FTDR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $655M last quarter, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago.

FTDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65M+12%
Q2 2026$120M0%
Q1 2026$113M-3.4%
Q4 2025$95M+90%
Q3 2025$58M+263%
Q2 2025$120M+32%
Q1 2025$117M+58%
Q4 2024$50M-7.4%

FTDR generated $393M in free cash flow over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

FTDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-800K shares
1 year-5.5%-4.1M shares
3 years-13%-10.3M shares
5 years-18%-15.6M shares
Available history-17%-14.6M shares

FTDR has 70M diluted shares, down 5.5% from a year ago, with $349M in buybacks over the past year.

FTDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

FTDR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

FTDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic77.8Neutral

FTDR's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

FTDR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFTDRSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %614714 pts above

FTDR is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

FTDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.313% above
20 week MA$81.617% above
50 week MA$69.338% above
100 week MA$62.353% above
200 week MA$49.095% above

FTDR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% above its 200-week average.

FTDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.3$50.6+7%
2021$50.6$35.6-30%
2022$35.6$19.6-45%
2023$19.6$35.2+80%
2024$35.2$55.7+58%
2025$55.7$58.6+5.3%
2026 YTD$58.6$95.4+63%

FTDR has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 63% so far in 2026.

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