FTDR

Frontdoor, Inc.

58
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTDR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has a slight edge over FTDR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

FTDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

FTDR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

FTDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$64.94-32%
Forward19x$95.42—
Fair20x$81.26-15%
Current24x$95.42—
Expensive31x$123+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTDR's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over FTDR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FTDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

FTDR has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FTDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$116.01
Downside-22%$74.59

Calculated from the latest close: $95.42 on Nov 12.

FTDR trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FTDR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FTDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+28%
Q3 2026$4.01+15%
Q2 2026$3.78+12%
Q1 2026$3.50+14%
Q4 2025$3.42+14%
Q3 2025$3.49+16%
Q2 2025$3.37+29%
Q1 2025$3.07+35%
Q4 2024$3.01+42%

FTDR has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

FTDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$655M+6%
Q2 2026$645M+4.5%
Q1 2026$451M+5.9%
Q4 2025$433M+13%
Q3 2025$618M+14%
Q2 2025$617M+14%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$382M+4.4%

FTDR has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

FTDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65M+12%
Q2 2026$120M0%
Q1 2026$113M-3.4%
Q4 2025$95M+90%
Q3 2025$58M+263%
Q2 2025$120M+32%
Q1 2025$117M+58%
Q4 2024$50M-7.4%

FTDR has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

FTDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-800K shares
1 year-5.5%-4.1M shares
3 years-13%-10.3M shares
5 years-18%-15.6M shares
Available history-17%-14.6M shares

FTDR has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FTDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

FTDR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over FTDR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FTDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic77.8Neutral

FTDR's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

FTDR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFTDRSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %614714 pts above

FTDR is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over FTDR on valuation relative to its sector.

FTDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.313% above
20 week MA$81.617% above
50 week MA$69.338% above
100 week MA$62.353% above
200 week MA$49.095% above

FTDR has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

FTDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.3$50.6+7%
2021$50.6$35.6-30%
2022$35.6$19.6-45%
2023$19.6$35.2+80%
2024$35.2$55.7+58%
2025$55.7$58.6+5.3%
2026 YTD$58.6$95.4+63%

FTDR has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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