FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc.
FTDR has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
FTDR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
FTDR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FTDR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $64.94 | -32% |
| Forward | 19x | $95.42 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $81.26 | -15% |
| Current | 24x | $95.42 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $123 | +29% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FTDR's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FTDR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FTDR, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
FTDR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.15 | +28% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.01 | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.78 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.50 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.49 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.37 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.07 | +35% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.01 | +42% |
FTDR has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
FTDR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $655M | +6% |
| Q2 2026 | $645M | +4.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $451M | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $433M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $618M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $617M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $426M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $382M | +4.4% |
FTDR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $655M last quarter, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5% | -1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | -1.7 points |
FTDR has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FTDR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $120M | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $113M | -3.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $95M | +90% |
| Q3 2025 | $58M | +263% |
| Q2 2025 | $120M | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $117M | +58% |
| Q4 2024 | $50M | -7.4% |
FTDR has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
FTDR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -4.1M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -10.3M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -15.6M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -14.6M shares |
FTDR has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M |
| Q2 2026 | $91M |
| Q1 2026 | $61M |
| Q4 2025 | $88M |
| Q3 2025 | $60M |
| Q2 2025 | $64M |
| Q1 2025 | $71M |
| Q4 2024 | $41M |
FTDR spent $349M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 48% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
FTDR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
FTDR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FTDR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.8 | Neutral |
FTDR's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
FTDR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FTDR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 32% above |
| PE % | 61 | 47 | 14 pts above |
FTDR is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FTDR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $84.3 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $81.6 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $69.3 | 38% above |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 53% above |
| 200 week MA | $49.0 | 95% above |
FTDR has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
FTDR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $47.3 | $50.6 | +7% |
| 2021 | $50.6 | $35.6 | -30% |
| 2022 | $35.6 | $19.6 | -45% |
| 2023 | $19.6 | $35.2 | +80% |
| 2024 | $35.2 | $55.7 | +58% |
| 2025 | $55.7 | $58.6 | +5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $58.6 | $95.4 | +63% |
FTDR has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.