FTAI

FTAI Aviation Ltd.

58
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTAI has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FTAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Under pressure

FTAI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

FTAI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE140x280x420x560x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE140x280x420x560x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$36.74-80%
Forward17x$183—
Current37x$183—
Fair38x$188+2.5%
Expensive52x$255+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTAI's PE is in its fair range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FTAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FTAI, with profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over FTAI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

FTAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$329.21
Downside-22%$142.77

Calculated from the latest close: $182.87 on Nov 12.

FTAI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails FTAI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FTAI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $4.07Q3 2025: $4.41Q4 2025: $4.60Q1 2026: $5.02Q2 2026: $4.58Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $10.79
Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $4.07Q3 2025: $4.41Q4 2025: $4.60Q1 2026: $5.02Q2 2026: $4.58Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $10.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.79+120%
Q3 2026$4.91+11%
Q2 2026$4.58+13%
Q1 2026$5.02+1992%
Q4 2025$4.60+$4.92
Q3 2025$4.41+$4.50
Q2 2025$4.07+$4.59
Q1 2025$0.24-89%
Q4 2024-$0.32-115%

FTAI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

FTAI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $313MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $444MQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $499MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $676MQ3 2025: $667MQ4 2025: $662MQ1 2026: $831MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $978M
Q4 2023: $313MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $444MQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $499MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $676MQ3 2025: $667MQ4 2025: $662MQ1 2026: $831MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $978M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$977.7M+47%
Q2 2026$953.1M+41%
Q1 2026$830.7M+65%
Q4 2025$662M+33%
Q3 2025$667.1M+43%
Q2 2025$676.2M+52%
Q1 2025$502.1M+54%
Q4 2024$498.8M+60%

FTAI's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $978M last quarter, up 47% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over FTAI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FTAI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$188MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: −$48MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$117MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$167MQ2 2026: −$123MQ3 2026: −$110M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$188MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: −$48MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$117MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$167MQ2 2026: −$123MQ3 2026: −$110M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$110.1M-$108.3M
Q2 2026-$122.6M-$5.4M
Q1 2026-$166.7M-$136.6M
Q4 2025-$189.3M-$141.2M
Q3 2025-$1.8M-104%
Q2 2025-$117.2M+$71.2M
Q1 2025-$30.1M-$28.5M
Q4 2024-$48.1M-582%

FTAI has burned cash in most quarters: −$589M over the past year, against −$197M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has the edge over FTAI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FTAI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 100MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 104M
Q4 2023: 100MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 104M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+62.3K shares
1 year+0.1%+140K shares
3 years+3.6%+3.6M shares
5 years+21%+18.1M shares
Available history+21%+18M shares

FTAI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

FTAI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 25.7xQ3 2024: 13.5xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 7.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 25.7xQ3 2024: 13.5xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 7.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

FTAI's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

FTAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.6Neutral
Stochastic42.0Neutral

FTAI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

FTAI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricFTAISector medianRelative
PE37x24x55% above
PE %465812 pts below

FTAI is trading at 37x earnings, a 55% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FTAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$172.75.9% above
20 week MA$194.96.2% below
50 week MA$224.919% below
100 week MA$178.42.5% above
200 week MA$121.950% above

FTAI's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 50% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

FTAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.9$19.8+17%
2021$19.8$24.7+25%
2022$24.7$17.4-30%
2023$17.4$46.4+167%
2024$46.4$127.1+174%
2025$127.1$174.2+37%
2026 YTD$174.2$182.9+5%

FTAI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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