FTAI

FTAI Aviation Ltd.

58
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTAI's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 46%, but its operating margin fell 8 points to 22%. At 37x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

FTAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Under pressure

FTAI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

FTAI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE140x280x420x560x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE140x280x420x560x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$36.74-80%
Forward17x$183—
Current37x$183—
Fair38x$188+2.5%
Expensive52x$255+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTAI's PE is in its fair range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FTAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FTAI, with profitability holding steady.

FTAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$329.21
Downside-22%$142.77

Calculated from the latest close: $182.87 on Nov 12.

FTAI's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +80% against −22%.

FTAI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $4.07Q3 2025: $4.41Q4 2025: $4.60Q1 2026: $5.02Q2 2026: $4.58Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $10.79
Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $0.24Q2 2025: $4.07Q3 2025: $4.41Q4 2025: $4.60Q1 2026: $5.02Q2 2026: $4.58Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $10.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.79+120%
Q3 2026$4.91+11%
Q2 2026$4.58+13%
Q1 2026$5.02+1992%
Q4 2025$4.60+$4.92
Q3 2025$4.41+$4.50
Q2 2025$4.07+$4.59
Q1 2025$0.24-89%
Q4 2024-$0.32-115%

FTAI earned $4.91 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

FTAI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $313MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $444MQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $499MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $676MQ3 2025: $667MQ4 2025: $662MQ1 2026: $831MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $978M
Q4 2023: $313MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $444MQ3 2024: $466MQ4 2024: $499MQ1 2025: $502MQ2 2025: $676MQ3 2025: $667MQ4 2025: $662MQ1 2026: $831MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $978M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$977.7M+47%
Q2 2026$953.1M+41%
Q1 2026$830.7M+65%
Q4 2025$662M+33%
Q3 2025$667.1M+43%
Q2 2025$676.2M+52%
Q1 2025$502.1M+54%
Q4 2024$498.8M+60%

FTAI's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $978M last quarter, up 47% from the same quarter a year ago.

FTAI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$188MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: −$48MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$117MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$167MQ2 2026: −$123MQ3 2026: −$110M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$188MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: −$48MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$117MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$167MQ2 2026: −$123MQ3 2026: −$110M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$110.1M-$108.3M
Q2 2026-$122.6M-$5.4M
Q1 2026-$166.7M-$136.6M
Q4 2025-$189.3M-$141.2M
Q3 2025-$1.8M-104%
Q2 2025-$117.2M+$71.2M
Q1 2025-$30.1M-$28.5M
Q4 2024-$48.1M-582%

FTAI has burned cash in most quarters: −$589M over the past year, against −$197M the year before.

FTAI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 100MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 104M
Q4 2023: 100MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 103MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 104M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+62.3K shares
1 year+0.1%+140K shares
3 years+3.6%+3.6M shares
5 years+21%+18.1M shares
Available history+21%+18M shares

FTAI has 104M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FTAI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 25.7xQ3 2024: 13.5xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 7.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 25.7xQ3 2024: 13.5xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 7.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

FTAI's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FTAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.6Neutral
Stochastic42.0Neutral

FTAI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

FTAI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricFTAISector medianRelative
PE37x24x55% above
PE %465812 pts below

FTAI is trading at 37x earnings, a 55% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

FTAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$172.75.9% above
20 week MA$194.96.2% below
50 week MA$224.919% below
100 week MA$178.42.5% above
200 week MA$121.950% above

FTAI's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 50% above its 200-week average.

FTAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.9$19.8+17%
2021$19.8$24.7+25%
2022$24.7$17.4-30%
2023$17.4$46.4+167%
2024$46.4$127.1+174%
2025$127.1$174.2+37%
2026 YTD$174.2$182.9+5%

FTAI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 5% so far in 2026.

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