FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd.
FTAI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over FTAI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
FTAI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure |
FTAI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FTAI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.5x | $36.74 | -80% |
| Forward | 17x | $183 | — |
| Current | 37x | $183 | — |
| Fair | 38x | $188 | +2.5% |
| Expensive | 52x | $255 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FTAI's PE is in its fair range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FTAI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FTAI, with profitability holding steady.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over FTAI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
FTAI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.79 | +120% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.91 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.58 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.02 | +1992% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.60 | +$4.92 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.41 | +$4.50 |
| Q2 2025 | $4.07 | +$4.59 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.24 | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.32 | -115% |
FTAI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
FTAI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $977.7M | +47% |
| Q2 2026 | $953.1M | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | $830.7M | +65% |
| Q4 2025 | $662M | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $667.1M | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $676.2M | +52% |
| Q1 2025 | $502.1M | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | $498.8M | +60% |
FTAI has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | -7.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | -9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | -4.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | +80 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +16 points |
| Q4 2024 | 32% | +18 points |
FTAI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FTAI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$110.1M | -$108.3M |
| Q2 2026 | -$122.6M | -$5.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$166.7M | -$136.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$189.3M | -$141.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.8M | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | -$117.2M | +$71.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$30.1M | -$28.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$48.1M | -582% |
FTAI has burned cash in most quarters: −$589M over the past year, against −$197M the year before.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has the edge over FTAI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FTAI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +62.3K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +140K shares |
| 3 years | +3.6% | +3.6M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +18.1M shares |
| Available history | +21% | +18M shares |
FTAI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
FTAI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4x | High |
FTAI's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FTAI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.0 | Neutral |
FTAI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
FTAI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FTAI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 24x | 55% above |
| PE % | 46 | 58 | 12 pts below |
FTAI is trading at 37x earnings, a 55% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FTAI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $172.7 | 5.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $194.9 | 6.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $224.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $178.4 | 2.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $121.9 | 50% above |
FTAI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
FTAI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.9 | $19.8 | +17% |
| 2021 | $19.8 | $24.7 | +25% |
| 2022 | $24.7 | $17.4 | -30% |
| 2023 | $17.4 | $46.4 | +167% |
| 2024 | $46.4 | $127.1 | +174% |
| 2025 | $127.1 | $174.2 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $174.2 | $182.9 | +5% |
FTAI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 5% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over FTAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.