FSUN

FirstSun Capital Bancorp

50
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

FSUN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over FSUN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

FSUN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
N/A
N/A

FSUN's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSUN.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSUN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$16.66-57%
Forward8.9x$39.05—
Fair11x$22.51-42%
Expensive14x$26.87-31%
Current20x$39.05—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSUN's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over FSUN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FSUN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FSUN, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

FSUN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$45.18
Downside-18%$32.05

Calculated from the latest close: $39.05 on Nov 12.

FSUN trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FSUN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FSUN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $3.50Q2 2024: $3.27Q3 2024: $3.06Q4 2024: $2.69Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.12Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $3.47Q1 2026: $3.40Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $1.98Forward: $4.39
Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $3.50Q2 2024: $3.27Q3 2024: $3.06Q4 2024: $2.69Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.12Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $3.47Q1 2026: $3.40Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $1.98Forward: $4.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.39+122%
Q3 2026$1.98-37%
Q2 2026$1.98-37%
Q1 2026$3.40+11%
Q4 2025$3.47+29%
Q3 2025$3.15+2.9%
Q2 2025$3.12-4.6%
Q1 2025$3.07-12%
Q4 2024$2.69-34%

FSUN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.98 over the past year, against $4.19 in mid-2023.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over FSUN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FSUN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $99MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $110MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $94MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $99MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $110MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $180M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$179.7M+67%
Q2 2026$184.1M+74%
Q1 2026$110M+14%
Q4 2025$110.2M+12%
Q3 2025$107.3M+9.2%
Q2 2025$105.6M+9.8%
Q1 2025$96.2M+2.8%
Q4 2024$98.7M+11%

FSUN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $180M last quarter, up 67% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over FSUN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FSUN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$48.4M+1.5%
Q2 2026$1.1B+8384%
Q1 2026-$14.1M-158%
Q4 2025$19M+603%
Q3 2025$47.6M+1.2%
Q2 2025$13M-34%
Q1 2025$24.3M-6.7%
Q4 2024$2.7M-93%

FSUN has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSUN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+150K shares
1 year+66%+18.6M shares
3 years+85%+21.5M shares
5 years+150%+28.1M shares

FSUN has 47M diluted shares, up 66% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over FSUN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FSUN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -4.4xQ2 2025: -6.0xQ3 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -4.7xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -11.6xQ3 2026: -5.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -4.4xQ2 2025: -6.0xQ3 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -4.7xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -11.6xQ3 2026: -5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-11.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.0xNet Cash

FSUN has the edge over SOFI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSUN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.0Neutral
Stochastic45.1Neutral

FSUN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FSUN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFSUNSector medianRelative
PE20x13x51% above
PE %955837 pts above

FSUN has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FSUN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.10.1% below
20 week MA$38.80.6% above
50 week MA$37.93% above
100 week MA$37.63.8% above
200 week MA$35.510% above

FSUN has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

FSUN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$30.0$35.9+20%
2023$35.9$34.0-5.2%
2024$34.0$39.7+17%
2025$39.7$38.4-3.4%
2026 YTD$38.4$39.1+1.8%

FSUN has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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