FSUN
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
FSUN's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over FSUN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
FSUN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FSUN's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSUN.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FSUN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.4x | $16.66 | -57% |
| Forward | 8.9x | $39.05 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $22.51 | -42% |
| Expensive | 14x | $26.87 | -31% |
| Current | 20x | $39.05 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FSUN's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over FSUN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
FSUN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for FSUN, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
FSUN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.39 | +122% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.98 | -37% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.98 | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.40 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.47 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.15 | +2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.12 | -4.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.07 | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.69 | -34% |
FSUN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.98 over the past year, against $4.19 in mid-2023.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over FSUN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FSUN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $179.7M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $184.1M | +74% |
| Q1 2026 | $110M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $110.2M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $107.3M | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $105.6M | +9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.2M | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $98.7M | +11% |
FSUN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $180M last quarter, up 67% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -15% | -46 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | -6.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +8.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | -14 points |
FSUN's operating margin was 27% last quarter, up 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over FSUN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over FSUN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FSUN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $48.4M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +8384% |
| Q1 2026 | -$14.1M | -158% |
| Q4 2025 | $19M | +603% |
| Q3 2025 | $47.6M | +1.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13M | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $24.3M | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7M | -93% |
FSUN has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FSUN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +150K shares |
| 1 year | +66% | +18.6M shares |
| 3 years | +85% | +21.5M shares |
| 5 years | +150% | +28.1M shares |
FSUN has 47M diluted shares, up 66% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over FSUN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
FSUN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -11.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -6.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
FSUN has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FSUN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.1 | Neutral |
FSUN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FSUN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FSUN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 13x | 51% above |
| PE % | 95 | 58 | 37 pts above |
FSUN is trading at 20x earnings, a 51% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over FSUN on valuation relative to its sector.
FSUN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.1 | 0.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $38.8 | 0.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $37.9 | 3% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.6 | 3.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $35.5 | 10% above |
FSUN has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
FSUN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $30.0 | $35.9 | +20% |
| 2023 | $35.9 | $34.0 | -5.2% |
| 2024 | $34.0 | $39.7 | +17% |
| 2025 | $39.7 | $38.4 | -3.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.4 | $39.1 | +1.8% |
FSUN has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's up 1.8% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over FSUN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.