FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
FSS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over FSS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
FSS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
FSS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
FSS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $98.68 | -14% |
| Forward | 20x | $115 | — |
| Current | 24x | $115 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $126 | +9.2% |
| Expensive | 30x | $143 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FSS's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over FSS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
FSS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSS, with profitability improving.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
FSS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.65 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.82 | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.64 | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.01 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.82 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.58 | +9.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.41 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.50 | +37% |
FSS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.82 over the past year, up 26% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over FSS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
FSS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $655.5M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $670.2M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $625.6M | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $597.1M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $555M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $564.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $463.8M | +9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $472M | +5.3% |
FSS's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $656M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +0.8 points |
FSS's operating margin was 17% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over FSS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over FSS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FSS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $101M | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $94.6M | +204% |
| Q4 2025 | $89.5M | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $54.1M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $52.4M | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.1M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.1M | -13% |
FSS generated $365M in free cash flow over the past year, up 66% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over FSS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FSS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 5 years | -0.3% | -200K shares |
| Available history | -0.2% | -100K shares |
FSS has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5M |
| Q2 2026 | $100,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $21.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2M |
FSS has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
FSS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
FSS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over FSS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FSS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.3 | Neutral |
FSS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
FSS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FSS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 0.7% below |
| PE % | 33 | 58 | 25 pts below |
FSS has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
FSS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $113.9 | 1% above |
| 20 week MA | $118.0 | 2.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $115.1 | 0% below |
| 100 week MA | $108.6 | 5.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $90.8 | 27% above |
FSS has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
FSS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.4 | $31.9 | -1.6% |
| 2021 | $31.9 | $42.4 | +33% |
| 2022 | $42.4 | $46.1 | +8.9% |
| 2023 | $46.1 | $76.7 | +66% |
| 2024 | $76.7 | $92.7 | +21% |
| 2025 | $92.7 | $113.4 | +22% |
| 2026 YTD | $113.4 | $115.1 | +1.4% |
FSS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.4% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over FSS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.