FSS

Federal Signal Corporation

71
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

FSS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 24% and free cash flow grew 66%. At 24x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 26x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

FSS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

FSS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FSS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$98.68-14%
Forward20x$115—
Current24x$115—
Fair26x$126+9.2%
Expensive30x$143+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSS's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FSS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSS, with profitability improving.

FSS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$150.36
Downside-11%$101.90

Calculated from the latest close: $115.06 on Nov 12.

FSS's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +31% against −11%.

FSS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.56Q1 2024: $2.95Q2 2024: $3.28Q3 2024: $3.44Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $3.41Q2 2025: $3.58Q3 2025: $3.82Q4 2025: $4.01Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.82Forward: $5.65
Q4 2023: $2.56Q1 2024: $2.95Q2 2024: $3.28Q3 2024: $3.44Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $3.41Q2 2025: $3.58Q3 2025: $3.82Q4 2025: $4.01Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $4.82Forward: $5.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.65+17%
Q3 2026$4.82+26%
Q2 2026$4.64+30%
Q1 2026$4.40+29%
Q4 2025$4.01+15%
Q3 2025$3.82+11%
Q2 2025$3.58+9.1%
Q1 2025$3.41+16%
Q4 2024$3.50+37%

FSS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.82 over the past year, up 26% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.

FSS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $448MQ1 2024: $425MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: $474MQ4 2024: $472MQ1 2025: $464MQ2 2025: $565MQ3 2025: $555MQ4 2025: $597MQ1 2026: $626MQ2 2026: $670MQ3 2026: $656M
Q4 2023: $448MQ1 2024: $425MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: $474MQ4 2024: $472MQ1 2025: $464MQ2 2025: $565MQ3 2025: $555MQ4 2025: $597MQ1 2026: $626MQ2 2026: $670MQ3 2026: $656M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$655.5M+18%
Q2 2026$670.2M+19%
Q1 2026$625.6M+35%
Q4 2025$597.1M+27%
Q3 2025$555M+17%
Q2 2025$564.6M+15%
Q1 2025$463.8M+9.2%
Q4 2024$472M+5.3%

FSS's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $656M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

FSS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $95MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $95MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$80M+48%
Q2 2026$101M+93%
Q1 2026$94.6M+204%
Q4 2025$89.5M+9%
Q3 2025$54.1M-11%
Q2 2025$52.4M+111%
Q1 2025$31.1M+36%
Q4 2024$82.1M-13%

FSS generated $365M in free cash flow over the past year, up 66% from the year before.

FSS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+100K shares
3 years+0.2%+100K shares
5 years-0.3%-200K shares
Available history-0.2%-100K shares

FSS has 62M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FSS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

FSS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FSS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic32.3Neutral

FSS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

FSS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricFSSSector medianRelative
PE24x24x0.7% below
PE %335825 pts below

FSS is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

FSS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$113.91% above
20 week MA$118.02.5% below
50 week MA$115.10% below
100 week MA$108.65.9% above
200 week MA$90.827% above

FSS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

FSS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.4$31.9-1.6%
2021$31.9$42.4+33%
2022$42.4$46.1+8.9%
2023$46.1$76.7+66%
2024$76.7$92.7+21%
2025$92.7$113.4+22%
2026 YTD$113.4$115.1+1.4%

FSS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.4% so far in 2026.

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