FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
FSS has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
FSS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
FSS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FSS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $98.68 | -14% |
| Forward | 20x | $115 | — |
| Current | 24x | $115 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $126 | +9.2% |
| Expensive | 30x | $143 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FSS's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FSS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FSS, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
FSS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.65 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.82 | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.64 | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.01 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.82 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.58 | +9.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.41 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.50 | +37% |
FSS has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
FSS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $655.5M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $670.2M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $625.6M | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $597.1M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $555M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $564.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $463.8M | +9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $472M | +5.3% |
FSS's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $656M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +0.8 points |
FSS has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FSS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $101M | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $94.6M | +204% |
| Q4 2025 | $89.5M | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $54.1M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $52.4M | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.1M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.1M | -13% |
FSS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
FSS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 5 years | -0.3% | -200K shares |
| Available history | -0.2% | -100K shares |
FSS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5M |
| Q2 2026 | $100,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $21.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2M |
FSS has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
FSS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
FSS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FSS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.3 | Neutral |
FSS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
FSS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FSS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 0.7% below |
| PE % | 33 | 58 | 25 pts below |
FSS is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FSS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $113.9 | 1% above |
| 20 week MA | $118.0 | 2.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $115.1 | 0% below |
| 100 week MA | $108.6 | 5.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $90.8 | 27% above |
FSS has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
FSS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.4 | $31.9 | -1.6% |
| 2021 | $31.9 | $42.4 | +33% |
| 2022 | $42.4 | $46.1 | +8.9% |
| 2023 | $46.1 | $76.7 | +66% |
| 2024 | $76.7 | $92.7 | +21% |
| 2025 | $92.7 | $113.4 | +22% |
| 2026 YTD | $113.4 | $115.1 | +1.4% |
FSS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.4% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over FSS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.