FSBW

FS Bancorp, Inc.

41
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

FSBW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over FSBW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

FSBW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FSBW's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSBW.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSBW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$26.31-39%
Fair8x$30.39-30%
Expensive9.7x$36.97-14%
Forward10x$43.21—
Current11x$43.21—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSBW's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over FSBW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FSBW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FSBW's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over FSBW on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

FSBW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$48.81
Downside-21%$34.08

Calculated from the latest close: $43.21 on Nov 12.

FSBW trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FSBW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FSBW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.58Q2 2024: $4.55Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.31Q2 2025: $4.17Q3 2025: $4.06Q4 2025: $4.29Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $3.80Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.58Q2 2024: $4.55Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.31Q2 2025: $4.17Q3 2025: $4.06Q4 2025: $4.29Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $3.80Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30+13%
Q3 2026$3.80-6.4%
Q2 2026$4.35+4.3%
Q1 2026$4.30-0.2%
Q4 2025$4.29-1.6%
Q3 2025$4.06-14%
Q2 2025$4.17-8.4%
Q1 2025$4.31-5.9%
Q4 2024$4.36-4.4%

FSBW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.80 over the past year, against $5.27 in early 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over FSBW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FSBW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$41.9M+6.6%
Q2 2026$38.8M+4.1%
Q1 2026$37.9M+5.1%
Q4 2025$40M+12%
Q3 2025$39.3M+5.6%
Q2 2025$37.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$36.1M+1.8%
Q4 2024$35.7M-0.5%

FSBW's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over FSBW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FSBW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$80,000Q2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$80,000Q2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.8M-24%
Q2 2026$51.4M+778%
Q1 2026$8.4M+7.8%
Q4 2025-$3.4M-108%
Q3 2025$41.6M+$42.9M
Q2 2025$5.9M-40%
Q1 2025$7.8M+$7.9M
Q4 2024$40.7M+229%

FSBW has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FSBW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.6%+194K shares
1 year+0.7%+54.3K shares
3 years-1.3%-103K shares
5 years-9.1%-770K shares
Available history-15%-1.4M shares

FSBW has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

FSBW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20255.0xHigh
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 202412.0xHigh

FSBW's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBW.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over FSBW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FSBW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

FSBW's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FSBW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFSBWSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %996336 pts above

FSBW has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FSBW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.01.8% below
20 week MA$43.61% below
50 week MA$42.02.8% above
100 week MA$40.85.8% above
200 week MA$37.914% above

FSBW has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

FSBW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.5$29.0-8.1%
2021$29.0$33.2+15%
2022$33.2$33.1-0.4%
2023$33.1$37.0+12%
2024$37.0$41.0+11%
2025$41.0$42.2+2.8%
2026 YTD$42.2$43.2+2.5%

FSBW has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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