FSBW

FS Bancorp, Inc.

41
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

FSBW's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, above its usual 8.0x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

FSBW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FSBW's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSBW.

FSBW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$26.31-39%
Fair8x$30.39-30%
Expensive9.7x$36.97-14%
Forward10x$43.21—
Current11x$43.21—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSBW's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x.

FSBW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FSBW's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

FSBW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$48.81
Downside-21%$34.08

Calculated from the latest close: $43.21 on Nov 12.

FSBW's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −21% against +13%.

FSBW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.58Q2 2024: $4.55Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.31Q2 2025: $4.17Q3 2025: $4.06Q4 2025: $4.29Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $3.80Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.58Q2 2024: $4.55Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.31Q2 2025: $4.17Q3 2025: $4.06Q4 2025: $4.29Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $3.80Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30+13%
Q3 2026$3.80-6.4%
Q2 2026$4.35+4.3%
Q1 2026$4.30-0.2%
Q4 2025$4.29-1.6%
Q3 2025$4.06-14%
Q2 2025$4.17-8.4%
Q1 2025$4.31-5.9%
Q4 2024$4.36-4.4%

FSBW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.80 over the past year, against $5.27 in early 2021.

FSBW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$41.9M+6.6%
Q2 2026$38.8M+4.1%
Q1 2026$37.9M+5.1%
Q4 2025$40M+12%
Q3 2025$39.3M+5.6%
Q2 2025$37.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$36.1M+1.8%
Q4 2024$35.7M-0.5%

FSBW's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

FSBW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$80,000Q2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$80,000Q2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.8M-24%
Q2 2026$51.4M+778%
Q1 2026$8.4M+7.8%
Q4 2025-$3.4M-108%
Q3 2025$41.6M+$42.9M
Q2 2025$5.9M-40%
Q1 2025$7.8M+$7.9M
Q4 2024$40.7M+229%

FSBW's free cash flow was $88M over the past year, down 8% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBW.

FSBW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.6%+194K shares
1 year+0.7%+54.3K shares
3 years-1.3%-103K shares
5 years-9.1%-770K shares
Available history-15%-1.4M shares

FSBW has 8M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.

FSBW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20255.0xHigh
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 202412.0xHigh

FSBW's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBW.

FSBW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

FSBW's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

FSBW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFSBWSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %996336 pts above

FSBW is trading at 11x earnings, a 13% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FSBW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.01.8% below
20 week MA$43.61% below
50 week MA$42.02.8% above
100 week MA$40.85.8% above
200 week MA$37.914% above

FSBW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 14% above its 200-week average.

FSBW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.5$29.0-8.1%
2021$29.0$33.2+15%
2022$33.2$33.1-0.4%
2023$33.1$37.0+12%
2024$37.0$41.0+11%
2025$41.0$42.2+2.8%
2026 YTD$42.2$43.2+2.5%

FSBW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 2.5% so far in 2026.

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