FSBW
FS Bancorp, Inc.
FSBW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over FSBW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
FSBW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
FSBW's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSBW.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
FSBW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $26.31 | -39% |
| Fair | 8x | $30.39 | -30% |
| Expensive | 9.7x | $36.97 | -14% |
| Forward | 10x | $43.21 | — |
| Current | 11x | $43.21 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FSBW has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
FSBW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect FSBW's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over FSBW on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
FSBW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.30 | +13% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.80 | -6.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.35 | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.30 | -0.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.29 | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.06 | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.17 | -8.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.31 | -5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.36 | -4.4% |
FSBW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.80 over the past year, against $5.27 in early 2021.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over FSBW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FSBW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $41.9M | +6.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $38.8M | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.9M | +5.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $40M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.3M | +5.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.3M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $36.1M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.7M | -0.5% |
FSBW's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -15 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | -5.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | -6.1 points |
FSBW's operating margin was 15% last quarter, down 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over FSBW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over FSBW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FSBW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $31.8M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.4M | +778% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.4M | +7.8% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.4M | -108% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.6M | +$42.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $5.9M | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8M | +$7.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $40.7M | +229% |
FSBW has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
FSBW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.6% | +194K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +54.3K shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -103K shares |
| 5 years | -9.1% | -770K shares |
| Available history | -15% | -1.4M shares |
FSBW has 8M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $620,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.8M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
FSBW spent $8M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 44% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over FSBW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
FSBW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.0x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 12.0x | High |
FSBW's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBW.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS has the edge over FSBW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FSBW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.9 | Neutral |
FSBW's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
FSBW PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | FSBW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 13% below |
| PE % | 99 | 63 | 36 pts above |
FSBW has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
FSBW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.0 | 1.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.6 | 1% below |
| 50 week MA | $42.0 | 2.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $40.8 | 5.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $37.9 | 14% above |
FSBW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 14% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
FSBW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.5 | $29.0 | -8.1% |
| 2021 | $29.0 | $33.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $33.2 | $33.1 | -0.4% |
| 2023 | $33.1 | $37.0 | +12% |
| 2024 | $37.0 | $41.0 | +11% |
| 2025 | $41.0 | $42.2 | +2.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.2 | $43.2 | +2.5% |
FSBW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 2.5% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over FSBW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.