FSBW

FS Bancorp, Inc.

41
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

FSBW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over FSBW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

FSBW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FSBW's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FSBW.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

FSBW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$26.31-39%
Fair8x$30.39-30%
Expensive9.7x$36.97-14%
Forward10x$43.21—
Current11x$43.21—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FSBW's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over FSBW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FSBW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FSBW's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

FSBW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$48.81
Downside-21%$34.08

Calculated from the latest close: $43.21 on Nov 12.

FSBW trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FSBW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FSBW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.58Q2 2024: $4.55Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.31Q2 2025: $4.17Q3 2025: $4.06Q4 2025: $4.29Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $3.80Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.58Q2 2024: $4.55Q3 2024: $4.71Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.31Q2 2025: $4.17Q3 2025: $4.06Q4 2025: $4.29Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $3.80Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30+13%
Q3 2026$3.80-6.4%
Q2 2026$4.35+4.3%
Q1 2026$4.30-0.2%
Q4 2025$4.29-1.6%
Q3 2025$4.06-14%
Q2 2025$4.17-8.4%
Q1 2025$4.31-5.9%
Q4 2024$4.36-4.4%

FSBW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.80 over the past year, against $5.27 in early 2021.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over FSBW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FSBW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$41.9M+6.6%
Q2 2026$38.8M+4.1%
Q1 2026$37.9M+5.1%
Q4 2025$40M+12%
Q3 2025$39.3M+5.6%
Q2 2025$37.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$36.1M+1.8%
Q4 2024$35.7M-0.5%

FSBW's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over FSBW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FSBW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$80,000Q2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$80,000Q2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.8M-24%
Q2 2026$51.4M+778%
Q1 2026$8.4M+7.8%
Q4 2025-$3.4M-108%
Q3 2025$41.6M+$42.9M
Q2 2025$5.9M-40%
Q1 2025$7.8M+$7.9M
Q4 2024$40.7M+229%

FSBW has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FSBW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.6%+194K shares
1 year+0.7%+54.3K shares
3 years-1.3%-103K shares
5 years-9.1%-770K shares
Available history-15%-1.4M shares

FSBW has 8M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over FSBW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FSBW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 12.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20255.0xHigh
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 202412.0xHigh

FSBW's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FSBW.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over FSBW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FSBW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

FSBW's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

FSBW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFSBWSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %996336 pts above

FSBW has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FSBW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.01.8% below
20 week MA$43.61% below
50 week MA$42.02.8% above
100 week MA$40.85.8% above
200 week MA$37.914% above

FSBW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 14% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over FSBW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FSBW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.5$29.0-8.1%
2021$29.0$33.2+15%
2022$33.2$33.1-0.4%
2023$33.1$37.0+12%
2024$37.0$41.0+11%
2025$41.0$42.2+2.8%
2026 YTD$42.2$43.2+2.5%

FSBW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 2.5% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over FSBW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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