FOUR

Shift4 Payments, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

FOUR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over FOUR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

FOUR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

FOUR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

FOUR PE Valuation

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK's PE is 7.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FOUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FOUR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over FOUR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

FOUR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$64.38
Downside-34%$27.23

Calculated from the latest close: $41.52 on Nov 12.

FOUR trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FOUR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FOUR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.29+331%
Q3 2024$1.69+5%
Q2 2024$1.64+3.1%
Q1 2024$1.48+14%
Q4 2023$1.36+37%
Q3 2023$1.61+360%
Q2 2023$1.59+$1.94
Q1 2023$1.30+$1.73
Q4 2022$0.99+$1.91

FOUR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.69 over the past year, up 5% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since early 2022.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over FOUR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

FOUR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+34%
Q1 2026$1.1B+32%
Q4 2025$1.2B+34%
Q3 2025$1.2B+29%
Q2 2025$966.2M+17%
Q1 2025$848.3M+20%
Q4 2024$887M+26%

FOUR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $1.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $11B last quarter, up 378% from the same quarter a year ago.

FOUR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216M-21%
Q2 2026$57M-39%
Q1 2026$128M+186%
Q4 2025$222.5M+55%
Q3 2025$272.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$93M+24%
Q1 2025$44.8M-50%
Q4 2024$143.8M+97%

FOUR generated $624M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over FOUR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FOUR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.1%-4M shares
1 year-16%-14.3M shares
3 years-11%-9.5M shares
5 years-7.4%-6M shares

FOUR has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

FOUR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20245.6xHigh

FOUR's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over FOUR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FOUR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

FOUR's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

FOUR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFOURSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK is trading at 7.5x earnings, a 73% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

FOUR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.84.3% above
20 week MA$44.05.7% below
50 week MA$48.514% below
100 week MA$69.740% below
200 week MA$70.341% below

FOUR has stronger trend alignment. FOUR is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

FOUR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$71.8+114%
2021$71.8$59.2-18%
2022$59.2$54.1-8.6%
2023$54.1$74.3+38%
2024$74.3$104.7+41%
2025$104.7$65.2-38%
2026 YTD$65.2$41.5-36%

FOUR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 36% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over FOUR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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