FOUR

Shift4 Payments, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

FOUR lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover, though they disagree widely on how much.

FOUR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

FOUR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

FOUR PE Valuation

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FOUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FOUR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FOUR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$64.38
Downside-34%$27.23

Calculated from the latest close: $41.52 on Nov 12.

FOUR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +55% against −34%.

FOUR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.29+331%
Q3 2024$1.69+5%
Q2 2024$1.64+3.1%
Q1 2024$1.48+14%
Q4 2023$1.36+37%
Q3 2023$1.61+360%
Q2 2023$1.59+$1.94
Q1 2023$1.30+$1.73
Q4 2022$0.99+$1.91

FOUR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.69 over the past year, up 5% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since early 2022.

FOUR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+34%
Q1 2026$1.1B+32%
Q4 2025$1.2B+34%
Q3 2025$1.2B+29%
Q2 2025$966.2M+17%
Q1 2025$848.3M+20%
Q4 2024$887M+26%

FOUR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $1.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

FOUR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216M-21%
Q2 2026$57M-39%
Q1 2026$128M+186%
Q4 2025$222.5M+55%
Q3 2025$272.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$93M+24%
Q1 2025$44.8M-50%
Q4 2024$143.8M+97%

FOUR generated $624M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

FOUR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.1%-4M shares
1 year-16%-14.3M shares
3 years-11%-9.5M shares
5 years-7.4%-6M shares

FOUR has 75M diluted shares, down 16% from a year ago, with $816M in buybacks over the past year.

FOUR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20245.6xHigh

FOUR's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

FOUR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

FOUR's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

FOUR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFOURSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FOUR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.84.3% above
20 week MA$44.05.7% below
50 week MA$48.514% below
100 week MA$69.740% below
200 week MA$70.341% below

FOUR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 41% below its 200-week average.

FOUR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$71.8+114%
2021$71.8$59.2-18%
2022$59.2$54.1-8.6%
2023$54.1$74.3+38%
2024$74.3$104.7+41%
2025$104.7$65.2-38%
2026 YTD$65.2$41.5-36%

FOUR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 36% so far in 2026.

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