FOUR

Shift4 Payments, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

FOUR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over FOUR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

FOUR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

FOUR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

FOUR PE Valuation

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

FOUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FOUR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over FOUR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

FOUR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$64.38
Downside-34%$27.23

Calculated from the latest close: $41.52 on Nov 12.

FOUR trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FOUR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FOUR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.29+331%
Q3 2024$1.69+5%
Q2 2024$1.64+3.1%
Q1 2024$1.48+14%
Q4 2023$1.36+37%
Q3 2023$1.61+360%
Q2 2023$1.59+$1.94
Q1 2023$1.30+$1.73
Q4 2022$0.99+$1.91

PLTR has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 5% for FOUR versus PLTR up 240%.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.43 over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.

FOUR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+34%
Q1 2026$1.1B+32%
Q4 2025$1.2B+34%
Q3 2025$1.2B+29%
Q2 2025$966.2M+17%
Q1 2025$848.3M+20%
Q4 2024$887M+26%

FOUR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $1.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over FOUR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FOUR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216M-21%
Q2 2026$57M-39%
Q1 2026$128M+186%
Q4 2025$222.5M+55%
Q3 2025$272.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$93M+24%
Q1 2025$44.8M-50%
Q4 2024$143.8M+97%

FOUR generated $624M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over FOUR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FOUR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.1%-4M shares
1 year-16%-14.3M shares
3 years-11%-9.5M shares
5 years-7.4%-6M shares

FOUR has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FOUR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20245.6xHigh

FOUR's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over FOUR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FOUR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

FOUR's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

FOUR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFOURSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

FOUR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.84.3% above
20 week MA$44.05.7% below
50 week MA$48.514% below
100 week MA$69.740% below
200 week MA$70.341% below

FOUR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 41% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over FOUR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FOUR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$71.8+114%
2021$71.8$59.2-18%
2022$59.2$54.1-8.6%
2023$54.1$74.3+38%
2024$74.3$104.7+41%
2025$104.7$65.2-38%
2026 YTD$65.2$41.5-36%

FOUR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 36% so far in 2026.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over FOUR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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