FOSL
Fossil Group, Inc.
FOSL has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
GME
GameStop Corp.
GME offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
FOSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
FOSL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
GME Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FOSL PE Valuation
FOSL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GME PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 17x | $25.62 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $27.96 | +9.1% |
| Forward | 38x | $25.62 | — |
| Fair | 43x | $66.84 | +161% |
| Expensive | 252x | $388 | +1414% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GME's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 38x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
FOSL Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for FOSL to show an outlook.
GME Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
FOSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.27 | -$0.15 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.13 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.45 | +$0.49 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.28 | +$1.04 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.12 | +$1.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.81 | +$0.85 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.94 | +$1.06 |
FOSL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $3.00 at its worst in late 2023.
GME Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.67 | -56% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.54 | +93% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | +153% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.77 | +133% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.89 | +394% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.80 | +515% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | +563% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +1550% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.18 | +$0.21 |
GME has the edge over FOSL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
FOSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $271.2M | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $209.7M | -4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $224.8M | -3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $280.5M | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $270.2M | -6.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $220.4M | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $233.3M | -8.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $342.3M | -19% |
FOSL's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $271M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +8.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3% | +5.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -8% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.9% | +8.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.8% | +0.9 points |
FOSL's operating margin was 9.3% last quarter, up 17 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
GME Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $790.2M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $835.3M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $821M | -4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $972.2M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $732.4M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.3M | -20% |
GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | +9.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.9% | -2.5 points |
GME has the edge over FOSL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FOSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $428K | +$22.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$10.1M | -217% |
| Q1 2026 | -$22.7M | +$37.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.1M | -51% |
| Q3 2025 | -$22.5M | +$1.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $8.6M | -76% |
| Q1 2025 | -$60.6M | -$59.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $28.5M | -40% |
FOSL's free cash flow was −$18M over the past year, against −$46M the year before.
GME Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60.7M | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $332.9M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $187.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $107M | +435% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.3M | +73% |
| Q2 2025 | $189.6M | +$304.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $158.8M | +$177.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M | +80% |
GME has the edge over FOSL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
FOSL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +8.8M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +8.7M shares |
| 5 years | +16% | +8.4M shares |
| Available history | +22% | +10.9M shares |
FOSL has 61M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $3,000 |
| Q4 2023 | $530,000 |
| Q3 2023 | — |
GME Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +8.4% | +46.1M shares |
| 3 years | +94% | +288M shares |
| 5 years | +104% | +302M shares |
| Available history | +80% | +264M shares |
GME has the edge over FOSL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $21.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $114M |
FOSL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 22.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 9.8x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2022 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2022 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2021 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
FOSL's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.9 years a year ago.
GME Net Leverage
FOSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 76.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 80.5 | Overbought |
FOSL's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).
GME Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
FOSL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FOSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
FOSL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GME | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 7.7% below |
| PE % | 15 | 47 | 32 pts below |
GME is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
FOSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.11 | 23% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.78 | 51% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.83 | 81% above |
| 100 week MA | $3.34 | 162% above |
| 200 week MA | $2.63 | 232% above |
FOSL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 232% above its 200-week average.
GME Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.2 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.0 | 7% above |
| 200 week MA | $21.8 | 17% above |
GME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.
FOSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.74 | $9.19 | +19% |
| 2021 | $9.19 | $10.2 | +11% |
| 2022 | $10.2 | $3.98 | -61% |
| 2023 | $3.98 | $1.46 | -63% |
| 2024 | $1.46 | $1.89 | +29% |
| 2025 | $1.89 | $3.85 | +104% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.85 | $8.74 | +127% |
FOSL has the edge over GME on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GME Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.48 | $5.04 | +241% |
| 2021 | $5.04 | $38.0 | +655% |
| 2022 | $38.0 | $20.1 | -47% |
| 2023 | $20.1 | $17.5 | -13% |
| 2024 | $17.5 | $32.2 | +84% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $21.1 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.1 | $25.6 | +21% |
GME's yearly returns have swung widely, from +655% in 2021 to −47% in 2022. It's up 21% so far in 2026.