FLG

Flagstar Financial, Inc.

41
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

FLG's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over FLG overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

FLG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FLG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FLG.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

FLG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE93x185x278x371x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE93x185x278x371x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3x$0.48-95%
Fair9.8x$1.56-85%
Expensive13x$2.11-80%
Forward21x$10.34—
Current65x$10.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FLG's PE is in its expensive range at 65x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over FLG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FLG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

FLG has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

FLG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$13.38
Downside-26%$7.62

Calculated from the latest close: $10.34 on Nov 12.

FLG trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FLG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FLG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-10.44Q2 2024: $-13.23Q3 2024: $-14.83Q4 2024: $-3.81Q1 2025: $-2.72Q2 2025: $-1.77Q3 2025: $-1.09Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.50
Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-10.44Q2 2024: $-13.23Q3 2024: $-14.83Q4 2024: $-3.81Q1 2025: $-2.72Q2 2025: $-1.77Q3 2025: $-1.09Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.50+212%
Q3 2026$0.16+$1.25
Q2 2026$0.04+$1.81
Q1 2026-$0.21+$2.51
Q4 2025-$0.50+$3.31
Q3 2025-$1.09+$13.74
Q2 2025-$1.77+$11.46
Q1 2025-$2.72+$7.72
Q4 2024-$3.81-$3.33

FLG has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over FLG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FLG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $867MQ1 2024: $633MQ2 2024: $671MQ3 2024: $623MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: $490MQ2 2025: $496MQ3 2025: $519MQ4 2025: $557MQ1 2026: $498MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $530M
Q4 2023: $867MQ1 2024: $633MQ2 2024: $671MQ3 2024: $623MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: $490MQ2 2025: $496MQ3 2025: $519MQ4 2025: $557MQ1 2026: $498MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$530M+2.1%
Q2 2026$516M+4%
Q1 2026$498M+1.6%
Q4 2025$557M-11%
Q3 2025$519M-17%
Q2 2025$496M-26%
Q1 2025$490M-23%
Q4 2024$625M-28%

FLG's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $530M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over FLG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FLG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $779MQ1 2024: −$294MQ2 2024: $796MQ3 2024: −$1BQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: $355MQ3 2025: $243MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$118MQ2 2026: $226MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $779MQ1 2024: −$294MQ2 2024: $796MQ3 2024: −$1BQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: $355MQ3 2025: $243MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$118MQ2 2026: $226MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5M-102%
Q2 2026$226M-36%
Q1 2026-$118M+$472M
Q4 2025-$189M-130%
Q3 2025$243M+$1.3B
Q2 2025$355M-55%
Q1 2025-$590M-$296M
Q4 2024$623M-20%

FLG's free cash flow was −$86M over the past year, against $631M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FLG.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM has the edge over FLG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FLG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 238MQ1 2024: 247MQ2 2024: 293MQ3 2024: 367MQ1 2025: 415MQ2 2025: 415MQ3 2025: 416MQ4 2025: 415MQ1 2026: 467MQ2 2026: 474MQ3 2026: 466M
Q4 2023: 238MQ1 2024: 247MQ2 2024: 293MQ3 2024: 367MQ1 2025: 415MQ2 2025: 415MQ3 2025: 416MQ4 2025: 415MQ1 2026: 467MQ2 2026: 474MQ3 2026: 466M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-7.6M shares
1 year+12%+50.5M shares
3 years+93%+225M shares
5 years+201%+311M shares
Available history+200%+311M shares

FLG has 466M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over FLG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FLG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 85.2xQ1 2026: 110.1xQ2 2026: 47.2xQ3 2026: 42.2x
Q4 2023: 85.2xQ1 2026: 110.1xQ2 2026: 47.2xQ3 2026: 42.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202642.2xHigh
Q2 202647.2xHigh
Q1 2026110.1xHigh
Q4 202385.2xHigh
Q3 20232.5xModerate
Q2 20230.2xVery low
Q1 2023-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 202222.2xHigh

FLG's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FLG.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over FLG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FLG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.1Oversold
Stochastic11.6Oversold

FLG's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

FLG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFLGSector medianRelative
PE65x13x396% above
PE %946331 pts above

FLG is trading at 65x earnings, a 396% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over FLG on valuation relative to its sector.

FLG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.06.3% below
20 week MA$12.819% below
50 week MA$13.222% below
100 week MA$12.316% below
200 week MA$17.039% below

FLG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over FLG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FLG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$31.3-11%
2021$31.3$36.2+15%
2022$36.2$25.9-28%
2023$25.9$30.7+19%
2024$30.7$9.03-71%
2025$9.03$12.8+41%
2026 YTD$12.8$10.3-19%

FLG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over FLG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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