FLG

Flagstar Financial, Inc.

41
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

FLG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 65x earnings, about seven times its usual 9.8x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

FLG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FLG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FLG.

FLG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE93x185x278x371x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE93x185x278x371x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3x$0.48-95%
Fair9.8x$1.56-85%
Expensive13x$2.11-80%
Forward21x$10.34—
Current65x$10.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FLG's PE is in its expensive range at 65x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

FLG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FLG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FLG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$13.38
Downside-26%$7.62

Calculated from the latest close: $10.34 on Nov 12.

FLG's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +29% against −26%.

FLG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-10.44Q2 2024: $-13.23Q3 2024: $-14.83Q4 2024: $-3.81Q1 2025: $-2.72Q2 2025: $-1.77Q3 2025: $-1.09Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.50
Q4 2023: $-0.48Q1 2024: $-10.44Q2 2024: $-13.23Q3 2024: $-14.83Q4 2024: $-3.81Q1 2025: $-2.72Q2 2025: $-1.77Q3 2025: $-1.09Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.50+212%
Q3 2026$0.16+$1.25
Q2 2026$0.04+$1.81
Q1 2026-$0.21+$2.51
Q4 2025-$0.50+$3.31
Q3 2025-$1.09+$13.74
Q2 2025-$1.77+$11.46
Q1 2025-$2.72+$7.72
Q4 2024-$3.81-$3.33

FLG has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

FLG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $867MQ1 2024: $633MQ2 2024: $671MQ3 2024: $623MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: $490MQ2 2025: $496MQ3 2025: $519MQ4 2025: $557MQ1 2026: $498MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $530M
Q4 2023: $867MQ1 2024: $633MQ2 2024: $671MQ3 2024: $623MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: $490MQ2 2025: $496MQ3 2025: $519MQ4 2025: $557MQ1 2026: $498MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$530M+2.1%
Q2 2026$516M+4%
Q1 2026$498M+1.6%
Q4 2025$557M-11%
Q3 2025$519M-17%
Q2 2025$496M-26%
Q1 2025$490M-23%
Q4 2024$625M-28%

FLG's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $530M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

FLG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $779MQ1 2024: −$294MQ2 2024: $796MQ3 2024: −$1BQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: $355MQ3 2025: $243MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$118MQ2 2026: $226MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $779MQ1 2024: −$294MQ2 2024: $796MQ3 2024: −$1BQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: $355MQ3 2025: $243MQ4 2025: −$189MQ1 2026: −$118MQ2 2026: $226MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5M-102%
Q2 2026$226M-36%
Q1 2026-$118M+$472M
Q4 2025-$189M-130%
Q3 2025$243M+$1.3B
Q2 2025$355M-55%
Q1 2025-$590M-$296M
Q4 2024$623M-20%

FLG's free cash flow was −$86M over the past year, against $631M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FLG.

FLG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 238MQ1 2024: 247MQ2 2024: 293MQ3 2024: 367MQ1 2025: 415MQ2 2025: 415MQ3 2025: 416MQ4 2025: 415MQ1 2026: 467MQ2 2026: 474MQ3 2026: 466M
Q4 2023: 238MQ1 2024: 247MQ2 2024: 293MQ3 2024: 367MQ1 2025: 415MQ2 2025: 415MQ3 2025: 416MQ4 2025: 415MQ1 2026: 467MQ2 2026: 474MQ3 2026: 466M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-7.6M shares
1 year+12%+50.5M shares
3 years+93%+225M shares
5 years+201%+311M shares
Available history+200%+311M shares

FLG has 466M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

FLG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 85.2xQ1 2026: 110.1xQ2 2026: 47.2xQ3 2026: 42.2x
Q4 2023: 85.2xQ1 2026: 110.1xQ2 2026: 47.2xQ3 2026: 42.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202642.2xHigh
Q2 202647.2xHigh
Q1 2026110.1xHigh
Q4 202385.2xHigh
Q3 20232.5xModerate
Q2 20230.2xVery low
Q1 2023-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 202222.2xHigh

FLG's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FLG.

FLG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.1Oversold
Stochastic11.6Oversold

FLG's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

FLG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFLGSector medianRelative
PE65x13x396% above
PE %946331 pts above

FLG is trading at 65x earnings, a 396% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FLG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.06.3% below
20 week MA$12.819% below
50 week MA$13.222% below
100 week MA$12.316% below
200 week MA$17.039% below

FLG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

FLG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$31.3-11%
2021$31.3$36.2+15%
2022$36.2$25.9-28%
2023$25.9$30.7+19%
2024$30.7$9.03-71%
2025$9.03$12.8+41%
2026 YTD$12.8$10.3-19%

FLG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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