FITB

Fifth Third Bancorp

49
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation24/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

FITB's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over FITB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

FITB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FITB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FITB.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FITB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$26.42-51%
Forward11x$53.90—
Fair12x$34.61-36%
Expensive15x$42.99-20%
Current19x$53.90—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FITB's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over FITB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FITB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FITB, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

FITB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$64.42
Downside-14%$46.37

Calculated from the latest close: $53.90 on Nov 12.

FITB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FITB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FITB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.22Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $3.13Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.14Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $3.22Q3 2025: $3.35Q4 2025: $3.53Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $2.92Q3 2026: $2.91Forward: $4.73
Q4 2023: $3.22Q1 2024: $3.14Q2 2024: $3.13Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.14Q1 2025: $3.15Q2 2025: $3.22Q3 2025: $3.35Q4 2025: $3.53Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $2.92Q3 2026: $2.91Forward: $4.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.73+63%
Q3 2026$2.91-13%
Q2 2026$2.92-9.3%
Q1 2026$2.97-5.7%
Q4 2025$3.53+12%
Q3 2025$3.35+12%
Q2 2025$3.22+2.9%
Q1 2025$3.15+0.3%
Q4 2024$3.14-2.5%

FITB earned $2.91 per share over the past year, down 13% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FITB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FITB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B+43%
Q2 2026$3.3B+46%
Q1 2026$2.8B+33%
Q4 2025$2.3B+7.8%
Q3 2025$2.3B+7.9%
Q2 2025$2.2B+7.8%
Q1 2025$2.1B+1.8%
Q4 2024$2.2B+0.5%

FITB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $3.3B last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over FITB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FITB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: −$246MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $765MQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $651M
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $588MQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: −$246MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $765MQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $651M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$651M-27%
Q2 2026$2.6B+125%
Q1 2026-$1.3B-212%
Q4 2025$765M+$1B
Q3 2025$886M-49%
Q2 2025$1.2B+98%
Q1 2025$1.1B+248%
Q4 2024-$246M-113%

FITB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FITB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 688MQ1 2024: 691MQ2 2024: 691MQ3 2024: 686MQ4 2024: 687MQ1 2025: 676MQ2 2025: 674MQ3 2025: 671MQ1 2026: 830MQ2 2026: 916MQ3 2026: 917M
Q4 2023: 688MQ1 2024: 691MQ2 2024: 691MQ3 2024: 686MQ4 2024: 687MQ1 2025: 676MQ2 2025: 674MQ3 2025: 671MQ1 2026: 830MQ2 2026: 916MQ3 2026: 917M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1.1M shares
1 year+36%+243M shares
3 years+34%+231M shares
5 years+28%+199M shares
Available history+27%+197M shares

FITB has 917M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over FITB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FITB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

FITB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FITB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic47.3Neutral

FITB's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FITB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFITBSector medianRelative
PE19x13x42% above
PE %946331 pts above

FITB is trading at 19x earnings, a 42% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over FITB on valuation relative to its sector.

FITB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.23.2% above
20 week MA$54.61.2% below
50 week MA$51.54.6% above
100 week MA$46.516% above
200 week MA$40.134% above

FITB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

FITB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.9$27.6-11%
2021$27.6$43.1+56%
2022$43.1$32.4-25%
2023$32.4$34.5+6.4%
2024$34.5$42.9+24%
2025$42.9$48.4+13%
2026 YTD$48.4$53.9+11%

FITB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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