FERG
Ferguson plc
FERG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over FERG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
FERG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
FERG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
FERG PE Valuation
FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.
FERG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect FERG's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
VRT has the edge over FERG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
FERG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.52 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.63 | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.45 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.55 | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.49 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.88 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.32 | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.02 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.13 | -5.5% |
FERG earned $10.63 per share over the past year, up 7.6% from the year before.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over FERG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
FERG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.8B | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5B | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.5B | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2B | +5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.5B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9B | +3% |
FERG's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6% | -1.2 points |
FERG's operating margin was 9.8% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over FERG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over FERG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FERG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $648M | +108% |
| Q2 2026 | -$198M | -142% |
| Q1 2026 | $680M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $471M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $312M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $471M | +83% |
| Q2 2025 | $605M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $259M | +26% |
FERG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $1.6B over the past year.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over FERG on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
FERG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -5.2% | -10.7M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -28.8M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -33.4M shares |
FERG has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $202M |
| Q1 2026 | $236M |
| Q4 2025 | $189M |
| Q4 2025 | $208M |
| Q3 2025 | $189M |
| Q2 2025 | $251M |
| Q1 2025 | $252M |
FERG spent $627M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 30% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
FERG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
FERG's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over FERG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FERG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.4 | Neutral |
FERG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
FERG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FERG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
FERG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $231.5 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $232.2 | 9.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $237.2 | 7.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $219.8 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.1 | 28% above |
FERG has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
FERG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $91.3 | $118.5 | +30% |
| 2021 | $118.5 | $175.9 | +48% |
| 2022 | $175.9 | $124.9 | -29% |
| 2023 | $124.9 | $193.1 | +55% |
| 2024 | $193.1 | $175.1 | -9.3% |
| 2025 | $175.1 | $228.7 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $228.7 | $254.9 | +11% |
FERG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over FERG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.