FERG

Ferguson plc

53
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

FERG lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

FERG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

FERG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

FERG PE Valuation

FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FERG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect FERG's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

FERG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$316.50
Downside-18%$207.82

Calculated from the latest close: $254.89 on Nov 12.

FERG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +24% against −18%.

FERG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $8.60Q2 2024: $9.15Q3 2024: $8.53Q4 2024: $8.33Q1 2025: $8.13Q2 2025: $8.02Q3 2025: $9.32Q4 2025: $9.88Q4 2025: $10.49Q1 2026: $10.55Q2 2026: $10.45Q3 2026: $10.63Forward: $12.52
Q1 2024: $8.60Q2 2024: $9.15Q3 2024: $8.53Q4 2024: $8.33Q1 2025: $8.13Q2 2025: $8.02Q3 2025: $9.32Q4 2025: $9.88Q4 2025: $10.49Q1 2026: $10.55Q2 2026: $10.45Q3 2026: $10.63Forward: $12.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.52+18%
Q3 2026$10.63+7.6%
Q2 2026$10.45+12%
Q1 2026$10.55+32%
Q4 2025$10.49+29%
Q4 2025$9.88+19%
Q3 2025$9.32+9.3%
Q2 2025$8.02-12%
Q1 2025$8.13-5.5%

FERG earned $10.63 per share over the past year, up 7.6% from the year before.

FERG Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $7.3BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $7.8BQ1 2025: $6.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $8.5BQ4 2025: $8.2BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $7.5BQ2 2026: $8.8BQ3 2026: $9B
Q1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $7.3BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $7.8BQ1 2025: $6.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $8.5BQ4 2025: $8.2BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $7.5BQ2 2026: $8.8BQ3 2026: $9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9B+10%
Q2 2026$8.8B+3%
Q1 2026$7.5B-2%
Q4 2025$7.5B+9.1%
Q4 2025$8.2B+5.1%
Q3 2025$8.5B+6.9%
Q2 2025$7.6B+4.3%
Q1 2025$6.9B+3%

FERG's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

FERG Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $205MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $268MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $471MQ4 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $471MQ1 2026: $680MQ2 2026: −$198MQ3 2026: $648M
Q1 2024: $205MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $268MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $471MQ4 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $471MQ1 2026: $680MQ2 2026: −$198MQ3 2026: $648M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$648M+108%
Q2 2026-$198M-142%
Q1 2026$680M+12%
Q4 2025$471M+82%
Q4 2025$312M+16%
Q3 2025$471M+83%
Q2 2025$605M+5.7%
Q1 2025$259M+26%

FERG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $1.6B over the past year.

FERG Total Shares

Q1 2024: 204MQ2 2024: 203MQ3 2024: 202MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 200MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 196MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 194M
Q1 2024: 204MQ2 2024: 203MQ3 2024: 202MQ4 2024: 201MQ1 2025: 200MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 196MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 194MQ3 2026: 194M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-100K shares
1 year-1.4%-2.7M shares
3 years-5.2%-10.7M shares
5 years-13%-28.8M shares
Available history-15%-33.4M shares

FERG has 194M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $627M in buybacks over the past year.

FERG Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy

FERG's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

FERG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.3Neutral
Stochastic54.4Neutral

FERG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

FERG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricFERGSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FERG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$231.510% above
20 week MA$232.29.8% above
50 week MA$237.27.5% above
100 week MA$219.816% above
200 week MA$199.128% above

FERG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.

FERG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$91.3$118.5+30%
2021$118.5$175.9+48%
2022$175.9$124.9-29%
2023$124.9$193.1+55%
2024$193.1$175.1-9.3%
2025$175.1$228.7+31%
2026 YTD$228.7$254.9+11%

FERG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.

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