FERG
Ferguson plc
FERG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has the edge over FERG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
FERG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
FERG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
FERG PE Valuation
FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FERG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect FERG's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RKLB has the edge over FERG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
FERG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.52 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.63 | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.45 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.55 | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.49 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.88 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.32 | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.02 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.13 | -5.5% |
FERG has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
FERG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.8B | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5B | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.5B | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2B | +5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.5B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9B | +3% |
FERG's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6% | -1.2 points |
FERG has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over FERG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FERG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $648M | +108% |
| Q2 2026 | -$198M | -142% |
| Q1 2026 | $680M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $471M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $312M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $471M | +83% |
| Q2 2025 | $605M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $259M | +26% |
FERG has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
FERG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -5.2% | -10.7M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -28.8M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -33.4M shares |
FERG has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $202M |
| Q1 2026 | $236M |
| Q4 2025 | $189M |
| Q4 2025 | $208M |
| Q3 2025 | $189M |
| Q2 2025 | $251M |
| Q1 2025 | $252M |
FERG spent $627M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 30% from the year before.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
FERG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
FERG's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
FERG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.4 | Neutral |
FERG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
FERG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FERG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
FERG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $231.5 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $232.2 | 9.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $237.2 | 7.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $219.8 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.1 | 28% above |
FERG has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
FERG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $91.3 | $118.5 | +30% |
| 2021 | $118.5 | $175.9 | +48% |
| 2022 | $175.9 | $124.9 | -29% |
| 2023 | $124.9 | $193.1 | +55% |
| 2024 | $193.1 | $175.1 | -9.3% |
| 2025 | $175.1 | $228.7 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $228.7 | $254.9 | +11% |
FERG has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.