FDUS

Fidus Investment Corporation

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FDUS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over FDUS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

FDUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

FDUS's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FDUS.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

FDUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$10.88-44%
Fair8.6x$19.02-1.5%
Current8.7x$19.32—
Forward9.4x$19.32—
Expensive11x$23.21+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FDUS's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.4x, in its expensive range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over FDUS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FDUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FDUS's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over FDUS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

FDUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$22.04
Downside-12%$17.01

Calculated from the latest close: $19.32 on Nov 12.

FDUS trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FDUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FDUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $2.45Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.29Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.16Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $2.07
Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $2.45Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.29Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.16Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $2.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.07-6.5%
Q3 2026$2.21+5.2%
Q2 2026$2.16-4%
Q1 2026$2.20-2.2%
Q4 2025$2.08-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.10-9.5%
Q2 2025$2.25-2.6%
Q1 2025$2.25-8.2%
Q4 2024$2.29-7.3%

FDUS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.21 over the past year, against $4.76 in early 2022.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over FDUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FDUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$17.2M-50%
Q2 2022$14.1M-56%
Q1 2022$17.4M-13%
Q4 2021$60.3M+67%
Q3 2021$34.5M+29%
Q2 2021$31.6M+124%
Q4 2020$36.1M+38%

SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 50% for FDUS versus up 44% for SOFI.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

FDUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$78MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$78MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.8M+$37.7M
Q2 2026-$41.9M-205%
Q1 2026-$32.6M+$17.6M
Q4 2025-$104.8M-611%
Q3 2025-$31.9M-782%
Q2 2025$39.9M+$42.6M
Q1 2025-$50.2M+$27.6M
Q4 2024$20.5M+512%

FDUS has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FDUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+949K shares
1 year+8.9%+3.2M shares
3 years+46%+12.3M shares
5 years+59%+14.5M shares
Available history+59%+14.4M shares

FDUS has 39M diluted shares, up 8.9% from a year ago.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over FDUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FDUS Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20224.1xHigh
Q2 20223.1xElevated
Q1 20222.5xModerate
Q4 20211.7xHealthy
Q3 20212.6xModerate
Q2 20213.3xElevated
Q1 20214.1xHigh
Q4 20209.6xHigh

FDUS's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FDUS.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

FDUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic49.6Neutral

FDUS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FDUS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFDUSSector medianRelative
PE8.7x13x33% below
PE %536310 pts below

FDUS has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FDUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.20.8% above
20 week MA$19.51% below
50 week MA$19.11.4% above
100 week MA$19.92.8% below
200 week MA$19.82.2% below

FDUS has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

FDUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$12.6-16%
2021$12.6$17.9+42%
2022$17.9$19.0+6%
2023$19.0$19.7+3.7%
2024$19.7$20.9+5.9%
2025$20.9$19.4-6.8%
2026 YTD$19.4$19.3-0.6%

FDUS has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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