FDUS

Fidus Investment Corporation

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FDUS's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 5.2%, but revenue fell 11%. At 8.7x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

FDUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

FDUS's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FDUS.

FDUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$10.88-44%
Fair8.6x$19.02-1.5%
Current8.7x$19.32—
Forward9.6x$19.32—
Expensive11x$23.21+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FDUS's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.6x, in its expensive range.

FDUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FDUS's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

FDUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$22.04
Downside-12%$17.01

Calculated from the latest close: $19.32 on Nov 12.

FDUS's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +14% against −12%.

FDUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $2.45Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.29Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.16Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $2.01
Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $2.45Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.29Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.16Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $2.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.01-9%
Q3 2026$2.21+5.2%
Q2 2026$2.16-4%
Q1 2026$2.20-2.2%
Q4 2025$2.08-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.10-9.5%
Q2 2025$2.25-2.6%
Q1 2025$2.25-8.2%
Q4 2024$2.29-7.3%

FDUS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.21 over the past year, against $4.76 in early 2022.

FDUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$17.2M-50%
Q2 2022$14.1M-56%
Q1 2022$17.4M-13%
Q4 2021$60.3M+67%
Q3 2021$34.5M+29%
Q2 2021$31.6M+124%
Q4 2020$36.1M+38%

FDUS's revenue is shrinking: $17M last quarter, down 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

FDUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$78MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$78MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.8M+$37.7M
Q2 2026-$41.9M-205%
Q1 2026-$32.6M+$17.6M
Q4 2025-$104.8M-611%
Q3 2025-$31.9M-782%
Q2 2025$39.9M+$42.6M
Q1 2025-$50.2M+$27.6M
Q4 2024$20.5M+512%

FDUS's free cash flow was −$174M over the past year, against −$22M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FDUS.

FDUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+949K shares
1 year+8.9%+3.2M shares
3 years+46%+12.3M shares
5 years+59%+14.5M shares
Available history+59%+14.4M shares

FDUS has 39M diluted shares, up 8.9% from a year ago.

FDUS Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20224.1xHigh
Q2 20223.1xElevated
Q1 20222.5xModerate
Q4 20211.7xHealthy
Q3 20212.6xModerate
Q2 20213.3xElevated
Q1 20214.1xHigh
Q4 20209.6xHigh

FDUS's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FDUS.

FDUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic49.6Neutral

FDUS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

FDUS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFDUSSector medianRelative
PE8.7x13x33% below
PE %536310 pts below

FDUS is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 33% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FDUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.20.8% above
20 week MA$19.51% below
50 week MA$19.11.4% above
100 week MA$19.92.8% below
200 week MA$19.82.2% below

FDUS's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.

FDUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$12.6-16%
2021$12.6$17.9+42%
2022$17.9$19.0+6%
2023$19.0$19.7+3.7%
2024$19.7$20.9+5.9%
2025$20.9$19.4-6.8%
2026 YTD$19.4$19.3-0.6%

FDUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 0.6% so far in 2026.

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