FDUS

Fidus Investment Corporation

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

FDUS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over FDUS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

FDUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

FDUS's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FDUS.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

FDUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$10.88-44%
Fair8.6x$19.02-1.5%
Current8.7x$19.32—
Forward9.4x$19.32—
Expensive11x$23.21+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FDUS's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.4x, in its expensive range.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over FDUS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FDUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect FDUS's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over FDUS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

FDUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$22.04
Downside-12%$17.01

Calculated from the latest close: $19.32 on Nov 12.

FDUS trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FDUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FDUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $2.45Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.29Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.16Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $2.07
Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $2.45Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.29Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $2.25Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.16Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $2.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.07-6.5%
Q3 2026$2.21+5.2%
Q2 2026$2.16-4%
Q1 2026$2.20-2.2%
Q4 2025$2.08-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.10-9.5%
Q2 2025$2.25-2.6%
Q1 2025$2.25-8.2%
Q4 2024$2.29-7.3%

FDUS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.21 over the past year, against $4.76 in early 2022.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over FDUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FDUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$17.2M-50%
Q2 2022$14.1M-56%
Q1 2022$17.4M-13%
Q4 2021$60.3M+67%
Q3 2021$34.5M+29%
Q2 2021$31.6M+124%
Q4 2020$36.1M+38%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 50% for FDUS versus up 23% for GS.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

FDUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$78MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$78MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.8M+$37.7M
Q2 2026-$41.9M-205%
Q1 2026-$32.6M+$17.6M
Q4 2025-$104.8M-611%
Q3 2025-$31.9M-782%
Q2 2025$39.9M+$42.6M
Q1 2025-$50.2M+$27.6M
Q4 2024$20.5M+512%

FDUS's free cash flow was −$174M over the past year, against −$22M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FDUS.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

FDUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+949K shares
1 year+8.9%+3.2M shares
3 years+46%+12.3M shares
5 years+59%+14.5M shares
Available history+59%+14.4M shares

FDUS has 39M diluted shares, up 8.9% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over FDUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FDUS Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20224.1xHigh
Q2 20223.1xElevated
Q1 20222.5xModerate
Q4 20211.7xHealthy
Q3 20212.6xModerate
Q2 20213.3xElevated
Q1 20214.1xHigh
Q4 20209.6xHigh

FDUS's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FDUS.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

FDUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic49.6Neutral

FDUS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FDUS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFDUSSector medianRelative
PE8.7x13x33% below
PE %536310 pts below

FDUS has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

FDUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.20.8% above
20 week MA$19.51% below
50 week MA$19.11.4% above
100 week MA$19.92.8% below
200 week MA$19.82.2% below

FDUS's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.2% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over FDUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FDUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$12.6-16%
2021$12.6$17.9+42%
2022$17.9$19.0+6%
2023$19.0$19.7+3.7%
2024$19.7$20.9+5.9%
2025$20.9$19.4-6.8%
2026 YTD$19.4$19.3-0.6%

FDUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 0.6% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over FDUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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