FDBC

Fidelity D & D Bancorp, Inc.

55
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

FDBC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over FDBC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

FDBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

FDBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FDBC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

FDBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$48.98-27%
Fair12x$64.18-4.3%
Current12x$67.06—
Expensive19x$102+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FDBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

FDBC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for FDBC to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

FDBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$79.41
Downside-24%$50.95

Calculated from the latest close: $67.06 on Nov 12.

FDBC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FDBC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FDBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.19Q1 2024: $2.83Q2 2024: $2.75Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $3.60Q1 2025: $3.75Q2 2025: $4.09Q3 2025: $4.50Q4 2025: $4.79Q1 2026: $5.04Q2 2026: $5.17Q3 2026: $5.43
Q4 2023: $3.19Q1 2024: $2.83Q2 2024: $2.75Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $3.60Q1 2025: $3.75Q2 2025: $4.09Q3 2025: $4.50Q4 2025: $4.79Q1 2026: $5.04Q2 2026: $5.17Q3 2026: $5.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.43+21%
Q2 2026$5.17+26%
Q1 2026$5.04+34%
Q4 2025$4.79+33%
Q3 2025$4.50+68%
Q2 2025$4.09+49%
Q1 2025$3.75+33%
Q4 2024$3.60+13%

FDBC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.43 over the past year, up 21% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over FDBC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FDBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$27.9M+19%
Q2 2026$26.2M+13%
Q1 2026$24.6M+12%
Q4 2025$24.4M+15%
Q3 2025$23.5M+15%
Q2 2025$23.3M+18%
Q1 2025$22M+13%
Q4 2024$21.2M+64%

FDBC's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $28M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over FDBC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FDBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.6M+381%
Q2 2026$17.1M+149%
Q1 2026$3.3M-72%
Q4 2025$4.2M-28%
Q3 2025$2.2M-72%
Q2 2025$6.9M-4.5%
Q1 2025$11.5M+185%
Q4 2024$5.9M-1%

FDBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FDBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-47.3K shares
1 year+1.3%+76.6K shares
3 years+2.1%+119K shares
5 years+2.8%+161K shares
Available history+53%+2M shares

FDBC has 6M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over FDBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FDBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -6.6xQ2 2025: -4.8xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -6.6xQ2 2025: -4.8xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.6xNet Cash

FDBC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

FDBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI76.6Overbought
Stochastic83.4Overbought

FDBC's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

FDBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFDBCSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.1% below
PE %57636 pts below

FDBC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FDBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.39.5% above
20 week MA$56.618% above
50 week MA$50.034% above
100 week MA$46.744% above
200 week MA$47.641% above

FDBC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

FDBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.4$64.3+1.4%
2021$64.3$58.6-8.9%
2022$58.6$45.9-22%
2023$45.9$58.0+26%
2024$58.0$48.7-16%
2025$48.7$45.3-7.1%
2026 YTD$45.3$67.1+48%

FDBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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