FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares, Inc.

61
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FCNCA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over FCNCA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

FCNCA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FCNCA's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FCNCA.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

FCNCA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.7x15x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.7x15x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.5x$1,649-29%
Forward11x$2,318—
Fair12x$2,274-1.9%
Current12x$2,318—
Expensive14x$2,794+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FCNCA's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over FCNCA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FCNCA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

FCNCA has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FCNCA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$2,920.02
Downside-13%$2,022.35

Calculated from the latest close: $2,317.86 on Nov 12.

FCNCA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails FCNCA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FCNCA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $784.51Q1 2024: $180.13Q2 2024: $181.80Q3 2024: $174.55Q4 2024: $189.41Q1 2025: $174.62Q2 2025: $169.44Q3 2025: $169.10Q4 2025: $165.24Q1 2026: $173.40Q2 2026: $186.56Q3 2026: $194.71Forward: $208.95
Q4 2023: $784.51Q1 2024: $180.13Q2 2024: $181.80Q3 2024: $174.55Q4 2024: $189.41Q1 2025: $174.62Q2 2025: $169.44Q3 2025: $169.10Q4 2025: $165.24Q1 2026: $173.40Q2 2026: $186.56Q3 2026: $194.71Forward: $208.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$208.95+7.3%
Q3 2026$194.71+15%
Q2 2026$186.56+10%
Q1 2026$173.40-0.7%
Q4 2025$165.24-13%
Q3 2025$169.10-3.1%
Q2 2025$169.44-6.8%
Q1 2025$174.62-3.1%
Q4 2024$189.41-76%

FCNCA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $194.71 over the past year, against $784.51 in late 2023.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over FCNCA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FCNCA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B0%
Q2 2026$2.4B+2.5%
Q1 2026$2.3B+0.7%
Q4 2025$2.4B+1.2%
Q3 2025$2.4B-0.5%
Q2 2025$2.4B-3.5%
Q1 2025$2.3B-6%
Q4 2024$2.4B-1.9%

FCNCA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over FCNCA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FCNCA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $693MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $885MQ4 2024: $991MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $733MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $807MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $941MQ3 2026: $689M
Q4 2023: $693MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $885MQ4 2024: $991MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $733MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $807MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $941MQ3 2026: $689M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$689M+1.6%
Q2 2026$941M+28%
Q1 2026$31M+$36M
Q4 2025$807M-19%
Q3 2025$678M-23%
Q2 2025$733M+132%
Q1 2025-$5M-101%
Q4 2024$991M+43%

FCNCA has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

FCNCA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-285K shares
1 year-12%-1.6M shares
3 years-23%-3.3M shares
5 years+15%+1.4M shares
Available history+1%+109K shares

FCNCA has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

FCNCA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.7xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.1xQ3 2025: 11.6xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.4xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.7xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.1xQ3 2025: 11.6xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.4xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20268.3xHigh
Q1 20269.4xHigh
Q4 202510.4xHigh
Q3 202511.6xHigh
Q2 202511.1xHigh
Q1 202510.8xHigh
Q4 20249.7xHigh

FCNCA's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FCNCA.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over FCNCA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FCNCA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.7Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

FCNCA's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

FCNCA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFCNCASector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.6% below
PE %54639 pts below

FCNCA has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

FCNCA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2,209.54.9% above
20 week MA$2,185.16.1% above
50 week MA$2,081.511% above
100 week MA$2,003.116% above
200 week MA$1,746.433% above

FCNCA has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

FCNCA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$530.5$593.1+12%
2021$593.1$864.4+46%
2022$864.4$751.1-13%
2023$751.1$1,419.0+89%
2024$1,419.0$2,132.4+50%
2025$2,132.4$2,180.5+2.3%
2026 YTD$2,180.5$2,317.9+6.3%

FCNCA has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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