FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares, Inc.

61
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FCNCA's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 3 points to 33%, while revenue grew only 1.1%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

FCNCA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

FCNCA's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FCNCA.

FCNCA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.7x15x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.7x15x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.5x$1,649-29%
Forward11x$2,318—
Fair12x$2,274-1.9%
Current12x$2,318—
Expensive14x$2,794+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FCNCA's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

FCNCA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FCNCA, with profitability improving.

FCNCA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$2,920.02
Downside-13%$2,022.35

Calculated from the latest close: $2,317.86 on Nov 12.

FCNCA's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +26% against −13%.

FCNCA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $784.51Q1 2024: $180.13Q2 2024: $181.80Q3 2024: $174.55Q4 2024: $189.41Q1 2025: $174.62Q2 2025: $169.44Q3 2025: $169.10Q4 2025: $165.24Q1 2026: $173.40Q2 2026: $186.56Q3 2026: $194.71Forward: $208.95
Q4 2023: $784.51Q1 2024: $180.13Q2 2024: $181.80Q3 2024: $174.55Q4 2024: $189.41Q1 2025: $174.62Q2 2025: $169.44Q3 2025: $169.10Q4 2025: $165.24Q1 2026: $173.40Q2 2026: $186.56Q3 2026: $194.71Forward: $208.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$208.95+7.3%
Q3 2026$194.71+15%
Q2 2026$186.56+10%
Q1 2026$173.40-0.7%
Q4 2025$165.24-13%
Q3 2025$169.10-3.1%
Q2 2025$169.44-6.8%
Q1 2025$174.62-3.1%
Q4 2024$189.41-76%

FCNCA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $194.71 over the past year, against $784.51 in late 2023.

FCNCA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B0%
Q2 2026$2.4B+2.5%
Q1 2026$2.3B+0.7%
Q4 2025$2.4B+1.2%
Q3 2025$2.4B-0.5%
Q2 2025$2.4B-3.5%
Q1 2025$2.3B-6%
Q4 2024$2.4B-1.9%

FCNCA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

FCNCA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $693MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $885MQ4 2024: $991MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $733MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $807MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $941MQ3 2026: $689M
Q4 2023: $693MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $885MQ4 2024: $991MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $733MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $807MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $941MQ3 2026: $689M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$689M+1.6%
Q2 2026$941M+28%
Q1 2026$31M+$36M
Q4 2025$807M-19%
Q3 2025$678M-23%
Q2 2025$733M+132%
Q1 2025-$5M-101%
Q4 2024$991M+43%

FCNCA's free cash flow was $2.5B over the past year, up 3% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FCNCA.

FCNCA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-285K shares
1 year-12%-1.6M shares
3 years-23%-3.3M shares
5 years+15%+1.4M shares
Available history+1%+109K shares

FCNCA has 11M diluted shares, down 12% from a year ago, with $3B in buybacks over the past year.

FCNCA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.7xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.1xQ3 2025: 11.6xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.4xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 10.0xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.7xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.1xQ3 2025: 11.6xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.4xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20268.3xHigh
Q1 20269.4xHigh
Q4 202510.4xHigh
Q3 202511.6xHigh
Q2 202511.1xHigh
Q1 202510.8xHigh
Q4 20249.7xHigh

FCNCA's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FCNCA.

FCNCA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.7Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

FCNCA's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

FCNCA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFCNCASector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.6% below
PE %54639 pts below

FCNCA is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FCNCA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2,209.54.9% above
20 week MA$2,185.16.1% above
50 week MA$2,081.511% above
100 week MA$2,003.116% above
200 week MA$1,746.433% above

FCNCA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

FCNCA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$530.5$593.1+12%
2021$593.1$864.4+46%
2022$864.4$751.1-13%
2023$751.1$1,419.0+89%
2024$1,419.0$2,132.4+50%
2025$2,132.4$2,180.5+2.3%
2026 YTD$2,180.5$2,317.9+6.3%

FCNCA has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 6.3% so far in 2026.

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