FBNC

First Bancorp

58
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FBNC has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

FBNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

FBNC's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FBNC.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

FBNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$37.47-42%
Fair13x$51.23-21%
Forward13x$64.80—
Current16x$64.80—
Expensive20x$79.73+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FBNC's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over FBNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FBNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FBNC, but weaker profitability.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

FBNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$80.04
Downside-13%$56.26

Calculated from the latest close: $64.80 on Nov 12.

FBNC trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FBNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FBNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.11Q2 2025: $2.34Q3 2025: $2.38Q4 2025: $2.68Q1 2026: $2.93Q2 2026: $3.22Q3 2026: $3.97Forward: $4.82
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.11Q2 2025: $2.34Q3 2025: $2.38Q4 2025: $2.68Q1 2026: $2.93Q2 2026: $3.22Q3 2026: $3.97Forward: $4.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.82+21%
Q3 2026$3.97+67%
Q2 2026$3.22+38%
Q1 2026$2.93+39%
Q4 2025$2.68+46%
Q3 2025$2.38-4%
Q2 2025$2.34-15%
Q1 2025$2.11-24%
Q4 2024$1.84-27%

FBNC earned $3.97 per share over the past year, up 67% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

FBNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: $130M
Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: $130M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$129.9M+45%
Q2 2026$127.3M+15%
Q1 2026$122.3M+16%
Q4 2025$83.9M+28%
Q3 2025$89.6M-7.3%
Q2 2025$111M+16%
Q1 2025$105.8M+15%
Q4 2024$65.7M-32%

FBNC's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $130M last quarter, up 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

FBNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $98M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $98M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$98M+103%
Q2 2026$65.5M+48%
Q1 2026$59.3M+13%
Q4 2025$54M-21%
Q3 2025$48.2M+27%
Q2 2025$44.3M-49%
Q1 2025$52.4M+$74.1M
Q4 2024$68.2M+54%

FBNC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FBNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+18.4K shares
1 year-0.2%-87.8K shares
3 years+0.5%+195K shares
5 years+45%+12.9M shares
Available history+39%+11.7M shares

FBNC has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over FBNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FBNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 7.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

FBNC has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

FBNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.8Neutral
Stochastic65.3Neutral

FBNC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

FBNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFBNCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x25% above
PE %71638 pts above

FBNC is trading at 16x earnings, a 25% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over FBNC on valuation relative to its sector.

FBNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.93.1% above
20 week MA$63.61.8% above
50 week MA$59.88.4% above
100 week MA$52.723% above
200 week MA$44.047% above

FBNC has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

FBNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.1$33.5-16%
2021$33.5$45.1+35%
2022$45.1$43.4-3.9%
2023$43.4$37.0-15%
2024$37.0$44.4+20%
2025$44.4$52.1+17%
2026 YTD$52.1$64.8+24%

FBNC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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