FBNC

First Bancorp

58
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

FBNC's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 16x earnings, above its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

FBNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

FBNC's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FBNC.

FBNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$37.47-42%
Fair13x$51.23-21%
Forward13x$64.80—
Current16x$64.80—
Expensive20x$79.73+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FBNC's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

FBNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FBNC, but weaker profitability.

FBNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$80.04
Downside-13%$56.26

Calculated from the latest close: $64.80 on Nov 12.

FBNC's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +24% against −13%.

FBNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.11Q2 2025: $2.34Q3 2025: $2.38Q4 2025: $2.68Q1 2026: $2.93Q2 2026: $3.22Q3 2026: $3.97Forward: $4.82
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.76Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.11Q2 2025: $2.34Q3 2025: $2.38Q4 2025: $2.68Q1 2026: $2.93Q2 2026: $3.22Q3 2026: $3.97Forward: $4.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.82+21%
Q3 2026$3.97+67%
Q2 2026$3.22+38%
Q1 2026$2.93+39%
Q4 2025$2.68+46%
Q3 2025$2.38-4%
Q2 2025$2.34-15%
Q1 2025$2.11-24%
Q4 2024$1.84-27%

FBNC earned $3.97 per share over the past year, up 67% from the year before.

FBNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: $130M
Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $127MQ3 2026: $130M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$129.9M+45%
Q2 2026$127.3M+15%
Q1 2026$122.3M+16%
Q4 2025$83.9M+28%
Q3 2025$89.6M-7.3%
Q2 2025$111M+16%
Q1 2025$105.8M+15%
Q4 2024$65.7M-32%

FBNC's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $130M last quarter, up 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

FBNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $98M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $98M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$98M+103%
Q2 2026$65.5M+48%
Q1 2026$59.3M+13%
Q4 2025$54M-21%
Q3 2025$48.2M+27%
Q2 2025$44.3M-49%
Q1 2025$52.4M+$74.1M
Q4 2024$68.2M+54%

FBNC's free cash flow was $277M over the past year, up 30% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FBNC.

FBNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+18.4K shares
1 year-0.2%-87.8K shares
3 years+0.5%+195K shares
5 years+45%+12.9M shares
Available history+39%+11.7M shares

FBNC has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

FBNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 7.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

FBNC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FBNC.

FBNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.8Neutral
Stochastic65.3Neutral

FBNC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

FBNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFBNCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x25% above
PE %71638 pts above

FBNC is trading at 16x earnings, a 25% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

FBNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.93.1% above
20 week MA$63.61.8% above
50 week MA$59.88.4% above
100 week MA$52.723% above
200 week MA$44.047% above

FBNC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% above its 200-week average.

FBNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.1$33.5-16%
2021$33.5$45.1+35%
2022$45.1$43.4-3.9%
2023$43.4$37.0-15%
2024$37.0$44.4+20%
2025$44.4$52.1+17%
2026 YTD$52.1$64.8+24%

FBNC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 24% so far in 2026.

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