F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over ZUMZ overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ZUMZ
Zumiez Inc.
ZUMZ offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ZUMZ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ZUMZ's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ZUMZ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $5.19 | -63% |
| Fair | 14x | $8.64 | -39% |
| Current | 22x | $14.09 | — |
| Expensive | 25x | $16.27 | +15% |
| Forward | 34x | $14.09 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ZUMZ's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 34x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over ZUMZ on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ZUMZ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ZUMZ's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ZUMZ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.42 | -35% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.64 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.75 | +$0.77 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.78 | +$0.87 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.45 | +$3.02 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.04 | +$2.71 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.02 | +$3.13 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.09 | +$3.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.57 | -$1.63 |
ZUMZ has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over ZUMZ on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ZUMZ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $209M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $193.3M | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $291.3M | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $239.1M | +7.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $214.3M | +1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.3M | +3.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $279.2M | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $222.5M | +2.8% |
ZUMZ has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -7.9% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.9% | +3.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.2% | +19 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | +1.1 points |
ZUMZ's operating margin was −0.6% last quarter, down 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over ZUMZ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ZUMZ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.4M | -125% |
| Q2 2026 | -$29.8M | -$5.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $54.1M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1M | +$25.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $9.5M | +$10.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$24.3M | -$3.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $49.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2024 | -$22.3M | -$19.3M |
ZUMZ usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$2M, but it generated $25M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
ZUMZ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.1% | -497K shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -990K shares |
| 3 years | -19% | -3.6M shares |
| 5 years | -39% | -9.9M shares |
| Available history | -39% | -9.9M shares |
ZUMZ has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23M |
| Q2 2026 | $6M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $25.2M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $5.6M |
ZUMZ spent $35M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 9.8% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over ZUMZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ZUMZ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
ZUMZ has more cash than debt.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ZUMZ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.2 | Oversold |
ZUMZ's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ZUMZ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ZUMZ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 22% above |
| PE % | 76 | 47 | 29 pts above |
ZUMZ is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
ZUMZ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.1 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.3 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $20.9 | 33% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.6 | 24% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.0 | 26% below |
ZUMZ has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over ZUMZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ZUMZ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.7 | $36.0 | +10% |
| 2021 | $36.0 | $45.9 | +27% |
| 2022 | $45.9 | $21.0 | -54% |
| 2023 | $21.0 | $20.3 | -3.2% |
| 2024 | $20.3 | $19.5 | -4.3% |
| 2025 | $19.5 | $27.2 | +40% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.2 | $14.1 | -48% |
ZUMZ has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.