ZUMZ

Zumiez Inc.

40
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ZUMZ's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 22x earnings, above its usual 14x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

ZUMZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ZUMZ's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ZUMZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x71x107x142x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x71x107x142x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$5.19-63%
Fair14x$8.64-39%
Current22x$14.09—
Expensive25x$16.27+15%
Forward34x$14.09—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZUMZ's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 34x.

ZUMZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ZUMZ's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZUMZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$19.86
Downside-24%$10.76

Calculated from the latest close: $14.09 on Nov 12.

ZUMZ's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +41% against −24%.

ZUMZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.94Q1 2024: $-3.25Q2 2024: $-3.15Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-2.57Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.02Q3 2025: $-0.04Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.75Q3 2026: $0.64Forward: $0.42
Q4 2023: $-0.94Q1 2024: $-3.25Q2 2024: $-3.15Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-2.57Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.02Q3 2025: $-0.04Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.75Q3 2026: $0.64Forward: $0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.42-35%
Q3 2026$0.64+$0.68
Q2 2026$0.75+$0.77
Q1 2026$0.78+$0.87
Q4 2025$0.45+$3.02
Q3 2025-$0.04+$2.71
Q2 2025-$0.02+$3.13
Q1 2025-$0.09+$3.16
Q4 2024-$2.57-$1.63

ZUMZ has returned to profit: it earned $0.64 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ZUMZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $216MQ1 2024: $282MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $210MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $279MQ2 2025: $184MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $239MQ1 2026: $291MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $209M
Q4 2023: $216MQ1 2024: $282MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $210MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: $279MQ2 2025: $184MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $239MQ1 2026: $291MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $209M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$209M-2.5%
Q2 2026$193.3M+4.9%
Q1 2026$291.3M+4.4%
Q4 2025$239.1M+7.5%
Q3 2025$214.3M+1.9%
Q2 2025$184.3M+3.9%
Q1 2025$279.2M-0.9%
Q4 2024$222.5M+2.8%

ZUMZ's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $209M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZUMZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: −$565,000Q4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: −$565,000Q4 2024: −$22MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: −$24MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.4M-125%
Q2 2026-$29.8M-$5.5M
Q1 2026$54.1M+8.9%
Q4 2025$3.1M+$25.4M
Q3 2025$9.5M+$10.1M
Q2 2025-$24.3M-$3.2M
Q1 2025$49.7M+48%
Q4 2024-$22.3M-$19.3M

ZUMZ usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$2M, but it generated $25M over the past year.

ZUMZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.1%-497K shares
1 year-5.9%-990K shares
3 years-19%-3.6M shares
5 years-39%-9.9M shares
Available history-39%-9.9M shares

ZUMZ has 16M diluted shares, down 5.9% from a year ago, with $35M in buybacks over the past year.

ZUMZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.4xQ1 2025: -4.7xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -9.4xQ1 2025: -4.7xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q4 2023-9.4xNet Cash
Q3 2023-3.7xNet Cash

ZUMZ has more cash than debt.

ZUMZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic18.2Oversold

ZUMZ's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ZUMZ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricZUMZSector medianRelative
PE22x18x22% above
PE %764729 pts above

ZUMZ is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ZUMZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.10.2% above
20 week MA$16.314% below
50 week MA$20.933% below
100 week MA$18.624% below
200 week MA$19.026% below

ZUMZ has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 26% below its 200-week average.

ZUMZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.7$36.0+10%
2021$36.0$45.9+27%
2022$45.9$21.0-54%
2023$21.0$20.3-3.2%
2024$20.3$19.5-4.3%
2025$19.5$27.2+40%
2026 YTD$27.2$14.1-48%

ZUMZ has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

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